Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 6/22/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals

Date: Monday, June 22, 2026

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: Nationals.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-160) Washington (+132)

The Washington Nationals (39-37) are welcoming the Philadelphia Phillies (40-35) at Nationals Park on Monday. The odds on this game have the Phillies at -160 and the Nationals open at +132. The over/under is 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Jesus Luzardo and Foster Griffin.

The Phillies have hit 95 two-baggers as a team and have hit 93 balls out of the park. Philadelphia has a slugging % of .387 and have been rung up 647 times, while taking a walk on 223 occasions. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 4.1 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They have tallied 299 runs batted in as well as 574 base knocks so far this season, and their batting average is sitting at .229. They have 308 runs and have an on-base percentage of .298.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.38 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.31. Phillies pitchers have allowed 83 long balls and 328 runs in total (13th in the league). Philadelphia has allowed 664 base hits (9.0 per 9 innings) as well as 304 earned runs. The Phillies have a team earned run average of 4.10 on the season (13th in MLB), and they have rung up 703 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 208 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.67 as a unit so far this season.

The Phillies have sent 249 relievers to the mound on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 76 runners so far this season with 31.6% of them crossing home plate. The relief pitchers have a total of 30 holds for the season (26th in baseball). Phillies bullpen pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 60 times as well as having 65 appearances in high leverage situations. They have earned 23 saves on the year and have not converted 7 of their 30 save opportunities. The Phillies bullpen have earned a save percentage of 76.7% and have entered the game in 61 save situations.

The Phillies have converted 67.0% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,006 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 29th in pro baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have 2,002 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 635 assists and 36 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .987 which has them sitting 15th in professional baseball, and have a total of 44 double plays.

Luzardo has taken the hill for 780 innings and has accumulated 872 punch outs in his MLB career. Luzardo (47-45 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.13 while facing 3,268 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.20 (364 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.252. He has allowed 713 base knocks (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 264 walks.

The Washington Nationals have recorded a team on-base percentage of .321 in addition to a batting average of .247 so far this season. They have struck out on 614 occasions (19th in the league) and have recorded 641 base hits. Washington has compiled 98 home runs this year to go along with 388 runs batted in. The Nationals have a SLG% of .421 and they are recording 5.38 runs per contest (1st in MLB). They have tallied 129 two-baggers, while getting a free base 257 times as well as putting up 409 runs.

The Washington pitching staff have surrendered 397 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 4.66 (354 earned runs surrendered). They have allowed 109 home runs and they relinquish 5.23 runs per 9 innings (27th in the league). The Nationals are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.386 in addition to having a FIP of 4.86 as a pitching staff so far this year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 7.60 (578 strikeouts against 271 bases on balls). They rank 27th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 676.

With 84 save situations, the Nationals have accumulated 38 holds and 19 blown saves. Washington has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 41 save opportunities and they have tallied 22 saves. Washington relievers have an inherited score percentage of 44.4% out of 108 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 80 times in high leverage situations in addition to 73 occasions with base runners. They are ranked 24th in baseball with a save percentage of 53.7%, and they have sent 243 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond for the season.

In 6,153 innings played, the Nationals hold a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (21st in pro baseball). The Washington Nationals have gotten 58 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .978 (30th in MLB). The Nationals have 685 assists, 62 errors and have notched a total of 2,051 putouts on the season.

So far in his career, Griffin has given up 77 base knocks and he has 85 K's in 92 innings. He has given up a total of 37 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.141 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.04 and he has gone up against 385 batters in his MLB career. Griffin (8-2 career win-loss record) has a 3.62 ERA while allowing 7.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Washington (+132) and under 9 runs

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