Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 6/23/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals

Date: Tuesday, June 23, 2026

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: Nationals.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-196) Washington (+162)

The Philadelphia Phillies (42-35) are on their way to Nationals Park on Tuesday where they will play the Washington Nationals (40-38). The moneyline on this matchup has Philadelphia at -196 and Washington is priced at +162. The total is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Jesus Luzardo and Zack Littell.

As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are compiling 4.3 runs per contest, which has them at 20th in baseball. They have racked up 329 runs while holding a team OBP of .300. The Phillies have hit 101 two-baggers as a team and have hit 99 baseballs out of the park. They have 318 RBI's and 599 hits so far this year, and their average at the plate is sitting at .232. Philadelphia has a slugging percentage of .396 and have been called out on strikes 660 times, while drawing a walk on 227 occasions.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 3.42 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.30. Phillies pitchers have conceded 86 home runs in addition to 333 total runs (12th in the league). Philadelphia has allowed 678 base hits (8.9 per 9 innings) and 309 earned runs. The Phillies are sitting with a team ERA of 4.06 for the season (12th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 725 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 212 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.67 as a unit this season.

Phillies bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 61 times in addition to having 65 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 31 holds this season (27th in baseball). The Phillies bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 76.7% and have come into the game in 62 save situations. They have 23 saves for the year and have blown 7 of 30 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 78 base runners so far this year and 30.8% of those runners ended up scoring. The Phillies have sent 255 relievers to the hill on the year.

The Philadelphia Phillies have notched a total of 2,056 putouts this year, in addition to 654 assists and 36 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .987 which puts them in 13th in pro baseball, and they have turned 44 double plays. The Phillies have converted 67.2% of balls in play into outs out of their 6,168 innings on the field, which has them ranked 29th in MLB.

Luzardo has taken the mound for 780 innings and has earned 872 punch outs during his MLB career. Luzardo (47-45 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 4.13 while facing 3,268 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.20 (364 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.252. He has given up 713 base hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 264 walks.

The Nationals hold a team SLG% of .421 and they are scoring 5.33 runs per contest (1st in the league). They have tallied 133 doubles, while taking a walk 260 times as well as racking up 416 runs. Washington has recorded 101 home runs this season and 395 RBIs. They have been rung up on 631 occasions (19th in the league) and have accounted for 657 hits. The Washington Nationals have recorded an on-base percentage of .320 and a team batting average of .246 so far this season.

The Nationals hold a team WHIP of 1.391 with a FIP of 4.84 as a unit on the campaign. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.70 (598 strikeouts against 279 free passes). They come in at 28th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 695. They have allowed 111 homers and they relinquish 5.19 runs per 9 innings (27th in the league). The Washington pitching staff have relinquished 404 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.64 (361 earned runs allowed).

With 87 save situations, the Nationals have recorded 39 holds and also 20 blown saves. Washington has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 43 save chances and they have earned 23 saves. Washington relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 43.6% out of their 110 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 84 times in high leverage situations in addition to 74 occasions with runners on base. They rank 26th in MLB with a save rate of 53.5%, and they have dispatched 249 relief pitchers to the mound for the season.

The Washington Nationals have gotten 60 double plays and have a fielding rate of .978 (30th in baseball). The Nationals have racked up 703 assists, 63 errors and have notched a total of 2,102 putouts during this campaign. In 6,306 innings on the diamond, the Nationals have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (21st in professional baseball).

In his career, Littell has conceded 672 hits while totaling 537 punch outs in 673 innings pitched. Littell (40-35 career record) has a 4.05 ERA while surrendering 9.0 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 303 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.233 and a FIP of 4.0. His K/BB ratio is 3.40 and he has gone up against 2,826 hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-196)

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