Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 6/25/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals

Date: Thursday, June 25, 2026

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: Nationals.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-144) Washington (+120)

The Philadelphia Phillies (43-36) are hitting the road to Nationals Park on Thursday where they will compete against the Washington Nationals (41-39). The odds on this game have the Phillies at -144 and the Nationals are priced at +120. The over/under has been set at 8. The starting pitchers will be Cristopher Sanchez and Cade Cavalli.

As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are recording 4.4 runs per game, which has them sitting at 17th in MLB. They have a total of 344 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .301. The Phillies have accumulated 106 doubles as a team and have hit 103 baseballs out of the park. They have 333 RBI's as well as 621 hits on the season, while their average at the plate comes in at .234. Philadelphia has a slugging percentage of .400 and have struck out 684 times, while being walked on 230 occasions.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.46 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.30. Phillies pitchers have allowed 90 home runs and 346 runs (13th in MLB). Philadelphia has yielded 699 base knocks (9.0 per 9 innings) and 322 earned runs. The Phillies have an ERA of 4.13 over the course of the season (13th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 750 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 217 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.69 as a team on the year.

The Phillies relievers have earned a save percentage of 74.2% and have stepped onto the mound in 63 save situations. They have compiled 23 saves this season and have blown 8 of 31 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 80 runners on the season and 30.0% of them ended up crossing the plate. Phillies bullpen pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 62 times in addition to having 66 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have dispatched 261 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The relief pitchers have notched 31 holds this year (27th in baseball).

The Phillies have converted 67.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 6,321 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 29th in the majors. The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with 2,107 putouts on the year, in addition to 666 assists and 37 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which is 12th in MLB, and they have turned 45 double plays.

Sanchez has taken the ball for 640 frames and is sitting with 630 K's in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.01 (214 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.151. He has conceded 589 base hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) with 148 walks. Sanchez (39-24 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 2.96 and he has gone up against 2,617 hitters in the major leagues.

The Washington Nationals have tallied an on-base percentage of .321 and a batting average of .248 this year. They have struck out on 656 occasions (17th in MLB) and have recorded 678 hits. Washington has hit 105 home runs this season to go along with 407 RBIs. The Nationals hold a slugging % of .424 and they score 5.36 runs per contest (1st in baseball). They have recorded 137 doubles, while walking 265 times and putting up 429 runs.

The Nationals hold a team WHIP of 1.392 with a FIP of 4.82 as a team so far this year. They come in at 28th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 718. The Washington pitching staff have yielded 419 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 4.71 (376 earned runs relinquished). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.80 (622 strikeouts against 282 free passes). They have relinquished 115 HR's and they relinquish 5.25 runs per 9 innings (27th in baseball).

Washington relievers have an inherited score percentage of 45.7% out of 116 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 86 times in high leverage situations in addition to 77 occasions with runners on base. With 94 save situations, the Nationals have earned 43 holds in addition to 22 blown saves. They rank 26th in baseball with a save rate of 52.2%, and they have sent 258 relievers onto the field on the year.

The Washington Nationals have turned 63 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .978 (30th in MLB). The Nationals have 722 assists, 66 errors and have earned 2,156 putouts over the course of the season. In 6,468 innings on the field, the Nationals have a efficiency on defense of 69.1% (24th in the majors).

During his career, Cavalli has given up 148 hits while he has totaled 128 K's in 130 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 65 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.483 and having a FIP of 4.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.84 and he has faced 591 batters in his MLB career. Cavalli (7-6 career mark) has earned a 4.50 ERA and has surrendered 10.2 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-144)

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