Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/31/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Friday, July 31, 2026

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Reds.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (-130) Cincinnati (+110)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (55-54) are traveling to Great American Ball Park on Friday where they will try to beat the Cincinnati Reds (50-57). The moneyline on this contest has Pittsburgh at -130 while Cincinnati is at +110. The total is 9. The pitchers expected to start will be Paul Skenes and Hunter Greene.

As a team, the Pittsburgh Pirates are compiling 5.2 runs per contest, which ranks them 3rd in the league. They have a total of 563 runs while holding a team OBP of .336. The Pirates have tallied 173 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 137 balls out of the stadium. They have tallied 538 runs batted in in addition to 985 base knocks so far this season, and their team batting average comes in at .260. Pittsburgh owns a slugging percentage of .420 and have been called out on strikes 1,029 times, while being walked on 395 occasions.

Get all of our MLB Betting Picks

The Pirates have an ERA of 4.28 so far this season (21st in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,004 hitters. Pirates pitchers have allowed 111 long balls in addition to 526 total runs (23rd in baseball). They have walked 386 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.90 as a unit on the campaign. Pittsburgh has yielded 897 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 465 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.60 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.31.

Pirates pitchers have entered the game with players on base 99 times as well as having 101 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have recorded 47 holds this year (25th in baseball). The Pirates relievers have earned a save rate of 52.5% and have come into the game in 88 save situations. They have compiled 21 saves on the season and have blown 19 of 40 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 137 base runners on the year with 30.7% of those runners crossing the plate. The Pirates have dispatched 347 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.

The Pirates have transformed 68.7% of balls in play into outs out of their 8,802 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 27th in MLB. The Pittsburgh Pirates have earned 2,934 putouts thus far, as well as 854 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983 which puts them in 22nd in pro baseball, and have earned 86 double plays.

Skenes has taken the ball for 440 innings and has earned 535 K's during his pro baseball career. Skenes (30-22 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 2.40 while he has faced 1,737 opposing batters in the majors. His ERA is 2.43 (119 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 0.981. He has allowed 330 base knocks (6.7 hits per 9 innings) with 102 walks.

The Reds hold a slugging % of .395 and they tally 4.11 runs per game (27th in MLB). They have 156 doubles, while taking a walk 382 times and earning 440 runs. Cincinnati has recorded 139 home runs on the year to go along with 420 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,014 occasions (3rd in the league) and have earned 821 hits. The Cincinnati Reds are sitting with an on-base percentage of .307 in addition to a team batting average of .229 for the season.

The Reds have a WHIP of 1.419 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.82 as a squad on the campaign. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.10 (856 strikeouts vs 460 walks). They rank 20th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 891. They have given up 139 long balls and they yield 4.82 runs per 9 innings (21st in MLB). The Cincinnati pitching staff have conceded 510 runs this season while having an ERA of 4.43 (469 earned runs given up).

Cincinnati bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 26.7% out of their 172 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 129 times in high leverage situations and also on 121 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 104 save situations, the Reds have accrued 59 holds and 17 blown saves. They are currently ranked 18th in MLB with a save rate of 60.5%, and they have sent 381 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this season.

Out of their 8,568 innings on the field, the Reds have a efficiency on defense of 70.6% (11th in professional baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 76 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (18th in baseball). The Reds have recorded 873 assists, 59 errors and have earned 2,856 putouts for the year.

Greene (27-31 record in his career) has earned a 3.80 earned run average and has conceded 7.1 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.47 and he has gone up against 2,154 opposing batters so far in his MLB career. He has allowed 218 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.150 and a FIP of 3.7. During his pro baseball career, Greene has allowed 408 base knocks while he has earned 646 punch outs in 516 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+110)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.