Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 9/26/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Detroit SportsNet

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+120) Detroit (-144)

The Detroit Tigers (74-85) will try to defeat the Pittsburgh Pirates (81-78) at Comerica Park on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has Pittsburgh at +120 while Detroit is priced at -144. The over/under comes in at 8. The starting pitchers are Jared Jones and Jack Flaherty.

As a team, the Pittsburgh Pirates are putting up 4.7 runs per game, which is 6th in MLB. They have 753 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .331. The Pirates have hit 243 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 182 baseballs out of the park. They have amassed 719 runs batted in as well as 1,381 base knocks so far this season, while their average at the plate is sitting at .253. Pittsburgh has a slugging rate of .404 and have been called out on strikes 1,473 times, while drawing a walk on 560 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.57 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.30. Pirates pitchers have given up 151 home runs in addition to 725 runs in total (19th in MLB). Pittsburgh has given up 1,268 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and 654 earned runs. The Pirates hold a team earned run average of 4.15 so far this year (18th in baseball), and they have rung up 1,466 batters. They have walked 571 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.80 as a unit on the season.

Pirates relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 133 times and also have had 157 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have notched 75 holds on the season (24th in baseball). The Pirates relief pitchers have a save rate of 61.5% and have come into the game in 142 save situations. They have compiled 40 saves on the season and have blown 25 of their 65 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 197 base runners this season with 33.0% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Pirates have dispatched 520 relievers to the hill for the year.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have earned a total of 4,258 putouts this year, as well as 1,255 assists and 95 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983 which has them ranked 25th in baseball, and they have turned 130 double plays. The Pirates have turned 68.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,774 innings, which has them sitting 25th in MLB.

Jones has taken the hill for 218 frames and has accumulated 250 punch outs during his career. Jones (11-14 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.98 and he has gone up against 906 batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.04 (98 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.163. He has given up 184 hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 70 free passes.

Detroit has accounted for 177 HRs for the season as well as 672 runs batted in. They have hit 255 doubles, while taking a walk 574 times and recording 709 runs. The Detroit Tigers have earned an OBP of .320 and a batting average of .241 for the year. The Tigers hold a team slugging % of .400 and they are scoring 4.46 runs per outing (14th in MLB). They have been rung up on 1,381 occasions (8th in baseball) and have earned 1,292 hits.

The Tigers have a WHIP of 1.220 and have a FIP of 4.01 as a unit this year. They are sitting at 5th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,217. The Detroit pitching staff have given up 638 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 3.65 (570 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.20 (1,280 strikeouts vs 499 bases on balls). They have relinquished 163 homers and they concede 4.08 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league).

They sit at 28th in the league with a save rate of 49.2%, and they have sent 495 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond this season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 135 times in high leverage situations in addition to 169 occasions with base runners. With 136 save situations, the Tigers have accrued 71 holds and also 32 blown saves. Detroit has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 63 save opportunities and they have come away with 31 saves. Detroit bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 26.4% out of 250 inherited runners.

The Detroit Tigers have turned 127 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .987 (12th in the majors). The Tigers have recorded 1,420 assists, 77 errors and have 4,221 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 12,663 innings on the diamond, the Tigers have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.5% (4th in professional baseball).

In his career, Flaherty has allowed 916 hits while he has totaled 1,232 strikeouts in 1,076 frames. Flaherty (66-64 career record) is the owner of a 3.86 earned run average while conceding 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 462 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.216 and a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 3.13 and he has gone up against 4,509 batters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Detroit (-144)

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