Pittsburgh Pirates vs Houston Astros Prediction, 6/3/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Houston Astros

Date: Wednesday, June 3, 2026

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+125) Houston (-145)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (32-28) are on their way to Daikin Park on Wednesday where they will attempt to defeat the Houston Astros (27-34). The moneyline on this game has Pittsburgh at +125 while Houston is coming in at -145. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Paul Skenes and Spencer Arrighetti.

As a squad, the Pittsburgh Pirates are putting up 5.0 runs per game, which has them sitting at 5th in MLB. They have tallied 301 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .335. The Pirates have earned 84 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 68 balls out of the park. They have recorded 288 RBI's and 526 base knocks on the year, while their average at the plate is at .253. Pittsburgh is slugging .398 and have been rung up 555 times, while being walked on 234 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.56 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.25. Pirates pitchers have surrendered 54 home runs and 270 total runs (17th in MLB). Pittsburgh has relinquished 465 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and also 236 earned runs. The Pirates have an earned run average of 3.91 on the year (12th in the league), and their staff has rung up 548 hitters. They have walked 214 opposing players and their FIP is 3.74 as a team for the year.

The Pirates have sent 199 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 75 base runners for the year and 32.0% of those runners crossing home plate. The bullpen have accumulated 34 holds this season (14th in the league). Pirates pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 59 times as well as having 58 appearances in high leverage situations. They have tallied 11 saves so far this season and have not converted 12 out of their 23 save opportunities. The Pirates relievers have compiled a save rate of 47.8% and have entered the game in 58 save situations.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have accounted for 1,631 putouts on the year, in addition to 491 assists and 36 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .983 which has them sitting 24th in MLB, and have accumulated 45 double plays. The Pirates have converted 70.1% of balls in play into outs out of 4,893 innings, which has them ranked 15th in baseball.

Skenes has thrown 385 innings and has accounted for 461 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 2.13 (91 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 0.934. He has allowed 274 hits (6.4 hits per nine innings) and has 86 free passes. Skenes (27-18 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 2.09 and he has gone up against 1,502 hitters during his time in the majors.

The Astros have a team slugging percentage of .409 and they have an average of 4.44 runs per contest (13th in baseball). They have recorded 95 doubles, while taking a walk 200 times and putting up 271 runs. Houston is sitting with 79 home runs on the campaign as well as 260 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 491 instances (17th in the league) and have totaled 499 hits. The Houston Astros have compiled a team OBP of .318 as well as a batting average of .244 this year.

The Houston pitching staff have relinquished 304 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.92 (293 earned runs given up). They have yielded 77 home runs and they concede 5.10 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league). The Astros have a team WHIP of 1.431 and have a FIP of 4.91 as a pitching staff for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.40 (502 strikeouts against 287 walks). They are currently ranked 16th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 480.

Houston relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 25.8% out of their 97 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 46 times in high leverage situations and on 60 occasions with base runners. With 45 save situations, the Astros have 27 holds and 3 blown saves. They are currently ranked 1st in baseball holding a save percentage of 83.3%, and they have sent 181 relievers to the hill on the campaign.

The Houston Astros have turned 55 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .990 (2nd in baseball). The Astros have recorded 473 assists, 21 errors and have a total of 1,609 putouts for the season. Out of their 4,827 innings played, the Astros are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 71.2% (9th in pro baseball).

So far in his pro baseball career, Arrighetti has given up 196 base knocks while earning 245 strikeouts in 227 frames. Arrighetti (15-19 career win-loss mark) has earned a 4.00 earned run average and has conceded 7.8 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 101 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.352 and a FIP of 3.9. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.21 and he has faced 986 hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+125)

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