Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 8/11/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins

Date: Tuesday, August 11, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (-182) Miami (+150)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (58-61) are traveling to LoanDepot Park on Tuesday where they will take on the Miami Marlins (59-59). The line on this matchup has the Pirates at -182 and the Marlins open at +150. The betting total is set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Paul Skenes and Eury Perez.

The Pirates have tallied 186 doubles as a squad and have hit 144 balls out of the park. Pittsburgh has a slugging rate of .413 and have been called out on strikes 1,122 times, while taking a walk on 436 occasions. As a team, the Pittsburgh Pirates are earning 5.1 runs per game, which ranks them 3rd in MLB. They have earned 575 RBI's and 1,060 hits over the course of the season, and their batting average comes in at .257. They have a total of 601 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .335.

Get all of our MLB Betting Picks

The Pirates have an earned run average of 4.29 on the year (21st in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,103 batters. Pirates pitchers have conceded 123 long balls and also 570 runs in total (24th in the league). They have walked 430 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.91 as a team for the season. Pittsburgh has surrendered 971 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 506 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.57 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.32.

The Pirates relievers have a save rate of 53.5% and stepped onto the hill in 94 save situations. They have accumulated 23 saves for the year and have not converted 20 of 43 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 142 base runners for the year with 32.4% of those runners crossing the plate. Pirates bullpen pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 102 times as well as having 108 appearances in high leverage situations. The Pirates have sent 376 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. The relievers have racked up 50 holds on the year (25th in MLB).

The Pirates have transformed 68.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of 9,564 innings on the field, ranking them 27th in baseball. The Pittsburgh Pirates have notched a total of 3,188 putouts this year, in addition to 931 assists and 70 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .983 which puts them in 23rd in pro baseball, and have a total of 93 double plays.

Skenes has thrown 449 innings and has 548 K's so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 2.54 (127 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 0.999. He has given up 339 hits (6.8 hits per 9 innings) and has had 110 walks. Skenes (30-23 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 2.51 and he has faced 1,779 hitters in the major leagues.

The Marlins have a team slugging percentage of .403 and they average 4.34 runs per outing (18th in MLB). They have hit 195 doubles, while walking 394 times and putting up 512 runs. Miami has hit 118 home runs for the season and 493 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 954 occasions (21st in MLB) and have a total of 979 hits. The Miami Marlins have recorded an on-base percentage of .325 as well as a team batting average of .250 this year.

The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.247 in addition to having a FIP of 3.99 as a staff on the season. They come in at 7th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 898. The Miami pitching staff have yielded 506 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 3.97 (457 earned runs relinquished). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.60 (985 strikeouts against 393 free passes). They have conceded 119 long balls and they allow 4.40 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league).

Miami relievers have an inherited score percentage of 22.3% out of 148 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 113 times in high leverage situations and on 101 occasions with base runners. With 111 save situations, the Marlins have earned 66 holds and also 15 blown saves. They are currently ranked 15th in MLB with a save rate of 65.1%, and they have dispatched 377 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the year.

The Miami Marlins have gotten 88 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in MLB). The Marlins have recorded 973 assists, 77 errors and have notched a total of 3,105 putouts this year. In their 9,315 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 70.6% (10th in baseball).

In his MLB career, Perez has allowed 222 base knocks while earning 334 punch outs in 295 innings pitched. He has conceded 121 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.107 and a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.18 and he has gone up against 1,206 hitters in his MLB career. Perez (17-21 career record) is the owner of a 3.69 ERA and has allowed 6.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+150)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.