Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 8/12/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins

Date: Wednesday, August 12, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (-150) Miami (+125)

LoanDepot Park is the location where the Miami Marlins (60-59) will meet the Pittsburgh Pirates (58-62) on Wednesday. The line on this matchup has the Pirates at -150 while the Marlins are coming in at +125. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Carmen Mlodzinski and Janson Junk.

Pittsburgh is slugging .412 and have struck out 1,135 times, while being walked on 436 occasions. They have 576 RBI's and 1,064 hits over the course of the season, and their average at the plate is at .256. The Pirates have recorded 187 two-baggers as a team and have hit 145 balls out of the park. They have earned a total of 602 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .334. As a team, the Pittsburgh Pirates are notching 5.0 runs per game, which ranks them 3rd in baseball.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.55 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.33. Pirates pitchers have yielded 125 long balls in addition to 581 runs (25th in MLB). Pittsburgh has yielded 986 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 517 earned runs. The Pirates have an ERA of 4.34 on the campaign (21st in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,113 hitters. They have walked 437 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.93 as a squad on the season.

The Pirates have sent 382 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have inherited 145 base runners this year with 33.8% of them crossing home plate. The bullpen have a total of 50 holds over the course of the season (25th in baseball). Pirates bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 103 times as well as having 108 appearances in high leverage situations. They have compiled 23 saves on the season and have blown 20 out of their 43 save opportunities. The Pirates relief pitchers have a save rate of 53.5% and have entered the game in 94 save situations.

The Pirates have converted 68.5% of balls in play into outs in their 9,645 innings, ranking them 27th in baseball. The Pittsburgh Pirates have a tally of 3,215 putouts on the year, in addition to 937 assists and 71 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .983 which ranks 21st in pro baseball, and they have turned 94 double plays.

Mlodzinski has pitched in 282 innings and has 246 K's so far in his career. Mlodzinski (19-20 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.30 while he has gone up against 1,198 opposing batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.35 (105 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.300. He has surrendered 271 base hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 96 walks.

Miami has tallied 120 home runs on the year as well as 503 runs batted in. They have tallied 195 doubles, while getting a free base 399 times as well as putting up 524 runs. The Miami Marlins have an OBP of .326 as well as a team batting average of .251 so far this year. The Marlins have a team SLG% of .405 and they earn 4.40 runs per outing (18th in MLB). They have struck out on 966 occasions (20th in the league) and have tallied 993 base knocks.

The Marlins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.247 and have a FIP of 3.99 as a staff this season. They are currently ranked 7th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 905. The Miami pitching staff have yielded 509 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 3.97 (460 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.60 (997 strikeouts vs 397 free passes). They have relinquished 120 long balls and they give up 4.39 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league).

They are currently ranked 15th in the league with a save percentage of 65.1%, and they have dispatched 382 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the year. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 113 times in high leverage situations in addition to 101 occasions with base runners. With 111 save situations, the Marlins have accrued 66 holds in addition to 15 blown saves. Miami has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 43 save chances and they have converted 28 saves. Miami relievers have an inherited score rate of 22.3% of 148 inherited runners.

The Miami Marlins have gotten 88 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .981 (29th in pro baseball). The Marlins have recorded 978 assists, 79 errors and have accumulated 3,132 putouts this season. In their 9,396 innings on the field, the Marlins are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 70.6% (10th in professional baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Junk has given up 260 base knocks while tallying 173 strikeouts in 231 innings pitched. Junk (12-14 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 4.79 ERA while allowing 10.1 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 123 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.328 and a FIP of 4.7. His K/BB ratio is 3.68 and he has faced 986 hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+125)

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