Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 8/13/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins

Date: Thursday, August 13, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (-122) Miami (+102)

The Miami Marlins (61-59) will try to defeat the Pittsburgh Pirates (58-63) at LoanDepot Park on Thursday. The odds on this game have the Pirates at -122 and the Marlins are at +102. The total is set at 9. The starting pitchers are Braxton Ashcraft and Tyler Phillips.

Pittsburgh has a slugging % of .410 and have struck out 1,145 times, while being walked on 438 occasions. They have tallied 576 runs batted in and 1,068 hits on the year, and their average at the plate is .256. The Pirates have earned 187 doubles as a team and have hit 145 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 602 runs scored and hold an OBP of .333. As a unit, the Pittsburgh Pirates are compiling 5.0 runs per contest, which ranks them 4th in the league.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.56 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.33. Pirates pitchers have conceded 126 long balls in addition to 583 runs in total (24th in MLB). Pittsburgh has given up 991 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 518 earned runs. The Pirates are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.32 this season (21st in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,122 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 439 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.93 as a team this season.

The Pirates relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 53.5% and have come into the game in 94 save situations. They have compiled 23 saves this season and have missed out on 20 of their 43 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 145 runners over the course of the season with 33.8% of those players crossing the plate. Pirates pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 103 times and also have had 108 appearances in high leverage situations. The Pirates have dispatched 383 relievers to the hill so far this year. The relief pitchers have a total of 50 holds on the season (25th in MLB).

The Pittsburgh Pirates are sitting with 3,239 putouts so far this season, in addition to 942 assists and 73 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .983 which is 24th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 96 double plays. The Pirates have converted 68.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 9,717 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 27th in professional baseball.

Ashcraft has pitched in 201 innings and is sitting with 216 punch outs in his pro baseball career. Ashcraft (15-9 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.57 while going up against 838 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.62 (81 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.192. He has allowed 184 base hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) with 56 free passes.

Miami has compiled 121 home runs for the season as well as 504 RBIs. They have notched 195 two-baggers, while taking a walk 401 times as well as putting up 526 runs. The Miami Marlins have recorded an on-base percentage of .326 and a team batting average of .250 over the course of the season. The Marlins hold a team slugging % of .404 and they average 4.38 runs per contest (18th in the league). They have struck out on 975 occasions (22nd in MLB) and have earned a total of 998 base hits.

The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.242 and have a FIP of 3.96 as a squad on the campaign. They rank 6th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 909. The Miami pitching staff have surrendered 509 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 3.93 (460 earned runs yielded). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (1,007 strikeouts against 399 bases on balls). They have relinquished 120 long balls and they give up 4.35 runs per 9 innings (11th in MLB).

With 113 save situations, the Marlins have accumulated 67 holds in addition to 15 blown saves. Miami has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 44 save opportunities and they have come away with 29 saves. Miami relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 22.3% out of 148 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 113 times in high leverage situations and also on 101 occasions with base runners. They rank 15th in the league with a save percentage of 65.9%, and they have dispatched 384 relievers to the mound for the season.

The Miami Marlins have turned 89 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .981 (29th in professional baseball). The Marlins have 984 assists, 79 errors and have earned 3,159 putouts for the year. In 9,477 innings played, the Marlins hold a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (10th in professional baseball).

During his pro baseball career, Phillips has given up 198 base hits while earning 150 strikeouts in 207 frames. He has conceded 88 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.293 and a FIP of 3.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.14 and he has gone up against 874 hitters in his MLB career. Phillips (9-7 career record) has a 3.82 earned run average while allowing 8.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+102)

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