Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 8/4/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Tuesday, August 4, 2026

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Brewers.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+125) Milwaukee (-145)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (56-57) are headed to American Family Field on Tuesday where they will try to beat the Milwaukee Brewers (69-42). The odds on this game have the Pirates at +125 and the Brewers are priced at -145. The over/under is set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Jared Jones and Logan Henderson.

Pittsburgh is slugging .416 and have struck out 1,063 times, while drawing a walk on 410 occasions. They have compiled 553 RBI's in addition to 1,014 base knocks on the campaign, while their batting average is sitting at .258. The Pirates have recorded 178 doubles as a team and have smacked 139 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 578 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .335. As a team, the Pittsburgh Pirates are putting up 5.1 runs per game, which puts them at 2nd in MLB.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.55 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.33. Pirates pitchers have allowed 117 home runs in addition to 548 total runs (24th in the league). Pittsburgh has given up 930 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 485 earned runs. The Pirates have an ERA of 4.31 so far this season (20th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,047 hitters. They have walked 411 batters and their FIP sits at 3.93 as a team this season.

The Pirates have sent 360 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 141 runners this year with 32.6% of those players ended up scoring. The relief pitchers have notched 48 holds so far this year (25th in the league). Pirates pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 101 times in addition to having 105 appearances in high leverage situations. They have earned 22 saves on the season and have blown 20 of their 42 chances to save the game. The Pirates relievers have recorded a save percentage of 52.4% and have stepped onto the mound in 91 save situations.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have notched a total of 3,035 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 884 assists and 68 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .983 which has them ranked 22nd in the majors, and have accumulated 89 double plays. The Pirates have transformed 68.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 9,105 innings, which has them ranked 27th in professional baseball.

Jones (8-10 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 3.99 and he has faced 712 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 144 hits (7.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 54 free passes. His earned run average is 4.05 (78 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.143. Jones has pitched in 173 frames and has accumulated 190 K's in his MLB career.

The Brewers have a team SLG% of .399 and they are scoring 5.00 runs per outing (5th in the league). They have hit 203 doubles, while getting a free base 460 times as well as notching 555 runs. Milwaukee has compiled 101 long balls on the year as well as 526 runs batted in. They have struck out on 904 occasions (23rd in baseball) and have recorded 953 base knocks. The Milwaukee Brewers have recorded a team OBP of .337 in addition to a batting average of .253 on the season.

The Brewers have a WHIP of 1.162 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.54 as a unit on the year. They are sitting at 2nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 805. The Milwaukee pitching staff have surrendered 420 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 3.48 (383 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.80 (1,081 strikeouts against 347 bases on balls). They have given up 110 homers and they surrender 3.81 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league).

They rank 10th in the league holding a save rate of 69.4%, and they have dispatched 338 relievers to the hill for the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 108 times in high leverage situations in addition to 87 occasions with runners on. With 102 save situations, the Brewers have 52 holds and 15 blown saves. Milwaukee has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 49 save chances and they have tallied 34 saves. Milwaukee relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 42.4% out of their 125 inherited runners.

In 8,925 innings on the field, the Brewers are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 71.1% (6th in MLB). The Milwaukee Brewers have gotten 78 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (8th in pro baseball). The Brewers have racked up 859 assists, 48 errors and have earned a total of 2,975 putouts this year.

Thus far in his career, Henderson has given up 48 hits while he has totaled 87 punch outs in 69 innings. He has allowed a total of 18 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 0.941 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.3. His K/BB ratio is 5.12 and he has faced 268 opposing hitters in his career. Henderson (8-1 career win-loss record) holds a 2.34 ERA and has conceded 6.3 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+125)

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