Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 8/6/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Thursday, August 6, 2026

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Brewers.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+106) Milwaukee (-128)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (57-58) are headed to American Family Field on Thursday where they will try to beat the Milwaukee Brewers (70-43). The odds on this game have Pittsburgh at +106 while Milwaukee is at -128. The total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Braxton Ashcraft and Dustin May.

Pittsburgh has a slugging % of .414 and have been called out on strikes 1,087 times, while drawing a walk on 416 occasions. They have earned 559 RBI's as well as 1,027 hits on the campaign, while their average at the plate is .257. The Pirates have hit 179 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 141 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 584 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .334. As a team, the Pittsburgh Pirates are earning 5.1 runs per game, which puts them at 3rd in the league.

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The Pirates have an ERA of 4.30 over the course of the season (20th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,067 batters. Pirates pitchers have relinquished 119 home runs in addition to 555 runs in total (24th in the league). They have walked 418 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.93 as a team on the campaign. Pittsburgh has allowed 947 base knocks (8.3 per 9 innings) and also 491 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.55 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.33.

The Pirates relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 53.5% and have entered the game in 94 save situations. They have recorded 23 saves on the season and have blown 20 out of their 43 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 142 runners on the season and 32.4% of those runners crossing the plate. Pirates bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 102 times in addition to having 108 appearances in high leverage situations. The Pirates have dispatched 366 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The relievers have recorded 50 holds this year (24th in MLB).

The Pittsburgh Pirates have earned 3,086 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 895 assists and 69 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .983 which puts them in 23rd in pro baseball, and they have turned 90 double plays. The Pirates have transformed 68.5% of balls in play into outs out of 9,258 innings on the field, which has them sitting 27th in pro baseball.

Ashcraft has thrown 196 innings and has earned 211 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 3.53 (77 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.197. He has surrendered 180 base hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) with 55 walks. Ashcraft (15-8 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.48 while he has gone up against 818 batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Milwaukee Brewers have earned an on-base percentage of .337 in addition to a team batting average of .254 over the course of the season. They have struck out on 924 occasions (20th in the league) and have totaled 970 base knocks. Milwaukee is sitting with 103 home runs this year as well as 532 RBIs. The Brewers hold a slugging percentage of .398 and they are recording 4.97 runs per game (5th in baseball). They have put up 203 doubles, while walking 467 times as well as scoring 562 runs.

The Milwaukee pitching staff have relinquished 426 runs this year while having an ERA of 3.47 (389 earned runs conceded). They have allowed 112 home runs and they concede 3.80 runs per 9 innings (2nd in baseball). The Brewers are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.160 and have a FIP of 3.53 as a pitching staff for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.80 (1,105 strikeouts against 353 walks). They rank 2nd in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 818.

With 105 save situations, the Brewers have compiled 54 holds and also 15 blown saves. Milwaukee has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 50 save opportunities and they have earned 35 saves. Milwaukee relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 42.9% of 126 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 109 times in high leverage situations in addition to 88 occasions with runners on. They are currently ranked 9th in MLB holding a save percentage of 70.0%, and they have sent 344 relievers to the hill so far this season.

In their 9,087 innings on the field, the Brewers have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.1% (6th in baseball). The Milwaukee Brewers have gotten 79 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (8th in MLB). The Brewers have 875 assists, 49 errors and have earned 3,029 putouts on the campaign.

May (24-27 career record) has earned a 3.99 ERA while allowing 7.9 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.72 and he has gone up against 1,815 opposing hitters thus far in his career. He has given up a total of 192 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.222 and having a FIP of 3.9. In his MLB career, May has allowed 381 hits while he has earned 403 strikeouts in 433 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-128) and under 8.5 runs

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