Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/2/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Thursday, July 2, 2026

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+132) Philadelphia (-160)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (43-43) are hitting the road to Citizens Bank Park on Thursday where they will go up against the Philadelphia Phillies (48-38). The moneyline on this game has Pittsburgh at +132 and Philadelphia is at -160. The betting total is set at 8. The starting pitchers will be Jared Jones and Alan Rangel.

The Pirates have hit 136 doubles as a team and have knocked 108 balls out of the park. Pittsburgh is slugging .418 and have been rung up 809 times, while taking a walk on 321 occasions. As a squad, the Pittsburgh Pirates are compiling 5.1 runs per contest, which ranks them 4th in MLB. They have recorded 421 runs batted in in addition to 768 base knocks for the season, and their team batting average sits at .258. They have tallied 440 runs and have an OBP of .336.

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The Pirates have compiled a team earned run average of 4.22 this year (17th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 789 batters. Pirates pitchers have allowed 85 home runs and 416 runs in total (22nd in the league). They have walked 311 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.91 as a unit this year. Pittsburgh has conceded 693 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) in addition to 361 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.54 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.31.

Pirates relief pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 82 times and also have had 80 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have earned 42 holds over the course of the season (18th in the league). The Pirates bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 50.0% and have come into the game in 77 save situations. They have tallied 17 saves this year and have missed out on 17 of their 34 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 115 runners on the campaign and 32.2% of them ended up scoring. The Pirates have dispatched 274 relievers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have earned a total of 2,309 putouts so far this season, in addition to 689 assists and 55 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .982 which is 27th in MLB, and have a total of 64 double plays. The Pirates have transformed 69.0% of baseballs in play into outs in their 6,927 innings on the field, which has them ranked 24th in baseball.

Jones has thrown 146 innings and has earned 157 K's during his pro baseball career. Jones (7-9 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 4.37 while facing 614 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.43 (72 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.238. He has given up 133 base hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) with 48 free passes.

The Philadelphia Phillies have accounted for an on-base percentage of .303 in addition to a team batting average of .237 for the year. They have been rung up on 749 instances (10th in MLB) and are sitting with 687 hits. Philadelphia has tallied 114 home runs this season to go along with 372 RBIs. The Phillies have a SLG% of .403 and they average 4.45 runs per contest (18th in MLB). They have 115 doubles, while taking a walk 249 times and scoring 383 runs.

The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.300 and have a FIP of 3.70 as a team for the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.70 (824 strikeouts against 243 free passes). They are sitting at 24th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 750. They have relinquished 98 homers and they concede 4.44 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB). The Philadelphia pitching staff have given up 377 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 4.10 (348 earned runs relinquished).

With 72 save situations, the Phillies have accumulated 35 holds in addition to 10 blown saves. Philadelphia has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 36 save opportunities and they have earned 26 saves. Philadelphia relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 35.2% out of their 88 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 78 times in high leverage situations and also on 66 occasions with base runners. They rank 8th in the league with a save percentage of 72.2%, and they have sent 286 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond for the season.

In 6,879 innings on the field, the Phillies have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 67.2% (29th in MLB). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 45 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (17th in baseball). The Phillies have accrued 721 assists, 44 errors and have earned a total of 2,293 putouts on the campaign.

So far in his career, Rangel has conceded 22 hits while totaling 21 K's in 23 innings pitched. Rangel (0-1 career record) is the owner of a 3.52 earned run average while allowing 8.6 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 9 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.304 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.63 and he has gone up against 97 hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+132)

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