Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 8/24/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres

Date: Monday, August 24, 2026

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+150) San Diego (-182)

Petco Park is the site where the San Diego Padres (70-60) will meet the Pittsburgh Pirates (63-68) on Monday. The moneyline on this game has the Pirates at +150 and the Padres are at -182. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Braxton Ashcraft and Robbie Ray.

Pittsburgh is slugging .409 and have been rung up 1,237 times, while taking a walk on 464 occasions. They have recorded 623 runs batted in as well as 1,150 hits so far this year, while their team batting average comes in at .255. The Pirates have recorded 202 doubles as a squad and have hit 156 balls out of the park. They have notched a total of 653 runs scored and hold an OBP of .331. As a squad, the Pittsburgh Pirates are putting up 5.0 runs per game, which has them at 5th in baseball.

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The Pirates hold a team ERA of 4.29 on the campaign (22nd in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,220 hitters. Pirates pitchers have surrendered 134 long balls and also 624 total runs (23rd in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 483 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.91 as a team so far this season. Pittsburgh has given up 1,064 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 557 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.53 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.32.

The Pirates relief pitchers have a save percentage of 55.6% and stepped onto the hill in 96 save situations. They have tallied 25 saves on the season and have blown 20 of 45 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 151 base runners this season with 34.4% of them ended up crossing the plate. Pirates relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 107 times as well as having 112 appearances in high leverage situations. The Pirates have sent 419 relievers to the mound this year. The relief pitchers have notched 50 holds on the campaign (29th in MLB).

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a total of 3,505 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,025 assists and 83 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .982 which puts them in 27th in baseball, and have 106 double plays. The Pirates have transformed 68.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 10,515 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 27th in MLB.

Ashcraft has thrown 218 innings and has earned 230 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.38 (82 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.136. He has given up 191 base hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 57 walks. Ashcraft (17-9 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.33 while he has gone up against 894 opposing batters during his time in the majors.

The San Diego Padres have an on-base percentage of .315 in addition to a batting average of .238 this year. They have been called out on strikes on 1,056 instances (19th in baseball) and have earned 1,020 base hits. San Diego has 145 home runs on the campaign as well as 536 RBIs. The Padres hold a slugging % of .389 and they are recording 4.28 runs per contest (21st in the league). They have put up 189 doubles, while taking a walk 446 times and recording 556 runs.

The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.299 with a FIP of 4.17 as a squad for the year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.20 (1,046 strikeouts vs 444 free passes). They have a ranking of 15th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,047. They have allowed 143 homers and they surrender 4.29 runs per 9 innings (9th in the league). The San Diego pitching staff have surrendered 547 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 4.04 (515 earned runs surrendered).

They sit at 6th in MLB holding a save rate of 72.2%, and they have dispatched 434 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 142 times in high leverage situations and also on 123 occasions with runners on. With 137 save situations, the Padres have accumulated 80 holds and also 15 blown saves. San Diego has had relievers enter the contest in 54 save chances and they have converted 39 saves. San Diego relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.9% out of their 207 inherited base runners.

In 10,332 innings on the field, the Padres are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (11th in the majors). The San Diego Padres have turned 103 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .988 (5th in pro baseball). The Padres have recorded 1,141 assists, 55 errors and have notched a total of 3,444 putouts on the season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Ray has allowed 1,262 base hits and he has 1,744 strikeouts in 1,456 frames. He has given up a total of 638 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.292 and having a FIP of 3.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.82 and he has gone up against 6,163 opposing batters in his MLB career. Ray (89-82 career record) holds a 3.94 earned run average while surrendering 7.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+150)

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