Pittsburgh Pirates vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 5/23/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Saturday, May 23, 2026

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+125) Toronto (-145)

The Toronto Blue Jays (23-27) will compete against the Pittsburgh Pirates (26-24) at Rogers Centre on Saturday. The odds on this game have the Pirates at +125 while the Blue Jays are opening at -145. The total is 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Paul Skenes and Patrick Corbin.

As a squad, the Pittsburgh Pirates are scoring 5.0 runs/g, which is 5th in the league. They have 248 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .335. The Pirates have tallied 73 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 52 baseballs out of the park. They have amassed 237 runs batted in in addition to 441 hits this year, and their average at the plate comes in at .253. Pittsburgh owns a slugging percentage of .391 and have struck out 459 times, while drawing a walk on 196 occasions.

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The Pirates are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.85 this season (11th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 445 batters. Pirates pitchers have conceded 44 long balls and also 222 total runs (15th in baseball). They have walked 176 hitters and their FIP sits at 3.77 as a unit so far this season. Pittsburgh has relinquished 382 base hits (7.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 195 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.53 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.23.

The Pirates have sent 170 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 59 runners on the campaign with 35.6% of those runners crossing the plate. The relief pitchers have 29 holds over the course of the season (12th in baseball). Pirates relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 49 times in addition to having 54 appearances in high leverage situations. They have earned 8 saves on the campaign and have blown 12 of their 20 save chances. The Pirates relievers have a save percentage of 40.0% and stepped onto the hill in 50 save situations.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have notched a total of 1,367 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 420 assists and 25 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which puts them in 19th in professional baseball, and have a total of 37 double plays. The Pirates have transformed 71.1% of balls in play into outs out of 4,101 innings on the field, which has them ranked 8th in the majors.

Skenes has pitched in 375 innings and has earned 449 strikeouts during his career. His ERA is 2.06 (86 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 0.914. He has given up 261 hits (6.3 hits per nine innings) with 82 free passes. Skenes (27-16 career record) sits with a FIP of 2.03 and he has gone up against 1,455 batters in the majors.

The Toronto Blue Jays have accumulated an OBP of .306 and a batting average of .243 this season. They have struck out on 352 occasions (29th in baseball) and have earned a total of 408 hits. Toronto has hit 45 home runs so far this year as well as 195 RBIs. The Blue Jays have a team slugging percentage of .370 and they are scoring 4.04 runs per game (24th in the league). They have put up 76 two-baggers, while taking a walk 144 times and scoring 202 runs.

The Blue Jays hold a team WHIP of 1.277 with a FIP of 3.63 as a pitching staff so far this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.30 (458 strikeouts against 156 walks). They come in at 20th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 410. They have allowed 49 home runs and they yield 4.31 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball). The Toronto pitching staff have yielded 212 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 3.92 (193 earned runs allowed).

Toronto relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 22.8% of 79 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 62 times in high leverage situations in addition to 58 occasions with runners on base. With 55 save situations, the Blue Jays have recorded 32 holds in addition to 10 blown saves. They rank 27th in baseball with a save percentage of 52.4%, and they have sent 188 relievers to the hill so far this year.

In 3,990 innings on the diamond, the Blue Jays have a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (27th in MLB). The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 37 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (26th in professional baseball). The Blue Jays have recorded 411 assists, 31 errors and have amassed 1,330 putouts during this campaign.

In his MLB career, Corbin has surrendered 2,223 base hits while he has earned 1,885 punch outs in 2,085 frames. He has allowed a total of 1,043 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.374 and a FIP of 4.4. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.93 and he has faced 8,976 hitters in his MLB career. Corbin (111-143 career mark) has earned a 4.50 earned run average while surrendering 9.6 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+125)

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