Pittsburgh Pirates vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 5/24/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Sunday, May 24, 2026

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+132) Toronto (-160)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (26-24) are traveling to Rogers Centre on Sunday where they will try to beat the Toronto Blue Jays (23-27). The moneyline on this matchup has the Pirates at +132 while the Blue Jays are at -160. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Mitch Keller and Dylan Cease.

As a unit, the Pittsburgh Pirates are compiling 5.0 runs per game, which has them sitting at 5th in baseball. They have accumulated 248 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .335. The Pirates have tallied 73 doubles as a squad and have hit 52 balls out of the park. They have tallied 237 runs batted in as well as 441 base knocks on the season, and their team batting average is sitting at .253. Pittsburgh has a slugging percentage of .391 and have struck out 459 times, while drawing a walk on 196 occasions.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.53 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.23. Pirates pitchers have allowed 44 home runs in addition to 222 runs in total (15th in the league). Pittsburgh has yielded 382 hits (7.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 195 earned runs. The Pirates have compiled a team ERA of 3.85 on the campaign (11th in the league), and they have struck out 445 batters. They have walked 176 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.77 as a squad over the course of the season.

The Pirates relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 40.0% and have stepped onto the mound in 50 save situations. They have recorded 8 saves this year and have missed out on 12 out of their 20 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 59 runners on the season with 35.6% of those players ended up scoring. Pirates pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 49 times in addition to having 54 appearances in high leverage situations. The Pirates have sent 170 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relievers have 29 holds so far this year (12th in the league).

The Pittsburgh Pirates have earned a total of 1,367 putouts thus far, in addition to 420 assists and 25 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986 which puts them in 19th in MLB, and they have turned 37 double plays. The Pirates have transformed 71.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of 4,101 innings on the field, which ranks them 8th in baseball.

Keller (46-67 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.40 and he has faced 4,050 batters in the major leagues. He has allowed 960 base hits (9.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 315 free passes. His ERA is 4.47 (465 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.362. Keller has taken the mound for 936 innings and has earned 878 K's so far in his MLB career.

The Toronto Blue Jays are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .306 in addition to a team batting average of .243 so far this year. They have struck out on 352 instances (29th in the league) and are sitting with 408 base hits. Toronto has a total of 45 HRs this season to go along with 195 runs batted in. The Blue Jays hold a team SLG% of .370 and they are scoring 4.04 runs per outing (24th in baseball). They have put up 76 two-baggers, while taking a walk 144 times as well as notching 202 runs.

The Blue Jays have a team WHIP of 1.277 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.63 as a team for the year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.30 (458 strikeouts against 156 bases on balls). They rank 20th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 410. They have conceded 49 homers and they surrender 4.31 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league). The Toronto pitching staff have surrendered 212 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 3.92 (193 earned runs yielded).

They are currently ranked 27th in the league with a save percentage of 52.4%, and they have sent 188 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. Their relief pitchers have come in 62 times in high leverage situations and on 58 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 55 save situations, the Blue Jays have accrued 32 holds in addition to 10 blown saves. Toronto has called on relievers to enter the game in 21 save opportunities and they have tallied 11 saves. Toronto relievers have an inherited score percentage of 22.8% out of their 79 inherited runners.

The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 37 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (26th in the majors). The Blue Jays have accrued 411 assists, 31 errors and are sitting with 1,330 putouts for the year. Out of their 3,990 innings played, the Blue Jays hold a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (27th in pro baseball).

Cease (68-60 career record) has a 3.84 ERA while surrendering 7.5 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.89 and he has faced 4,543 batters during his pro baseball career. He has surrendered a total of 457 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.263 and a FIP of 3.8. Thus far in his career, Cease has allowed 899 hits while he has totaled 1,315 K's in 1,072 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+132)

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