Sacramento Athletics vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 8/7/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Sacramento Athletics vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Friday, August 7, 2026

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Sacramento (+106) Boston (-128)

The Boston Red Sox (62-51) will try to beat the Sacramento Athletics (45-69) at Fenway Park on Friday. The moneyline on this contest has the Athletics at +106 while the Red Sox are priced at -128. The over/under is set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Jack Perkins and Payton Tolle.

The Athletics have accounted for 176 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 135 balls out of the park. Sacramento is slugging .399 and have struck out 988 times, while drawing a walk on 386 occasions. As a team, the Sacramento Athletics are putting up 4.3 runs per outing, which is 20th in MLB. They have accounted for 473 RBI's as well as 946 base knocks so far this year, and their average at the plate is sitting at .244. They are sitting with 493 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .319.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.13 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.49. Athletics pitchers have given up 177 home runs in addition to 649 total runs (29th in baseball). Sacramento has yielded 1,055 base hits (9.4 per 9 innings) as well as 607 earned runs. The Athletics hold a team earned run average of 5.40 so far this season (29th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 971 hitters. They have walked 455 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.96 as a unit on the campaign.

Athletics relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 130 times in addition to having 112 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 62 holds this season (13th in baseball). The Athletics relievers have compiled a save rate of 54.0% and have entered the game in 114 save situations. They have earned 27 saves this year and have missed out on 23 of 50 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 194 runners for the year and 37.6% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Athletics have sent 391 relievers to the hill on the campaign.

The Athletics have converted 68.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 9,102 innings, which ranks them 28th in the majors. The Sacramento Athletics have 3,034 putouts so far this season, in addition to 852 assists and 49 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .988 which ranks 9th in MLB, and have earned 79 double plays.

Perkins (5-9 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 5.81 while he has gone up against 493 opposing hitters in the majors. He has given up 102 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 46 walks. His ERA is 5.90 (73 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.329. Perkins has taken the mound for 111 innings and is sitting with 126 K's so far in his MLB career.

Boston has accumulated 116 home runs for the season to go along with 470 runs batted in. They have put up 196 doubles, while taking a walk 343 times and notching 492 runs. The Boston Red Sox are sitting with a team OBP of .317 in addition to a team batting average of .246 on the season. The Red Sox hold a slugging percentage of .400 and they are recording 4.35 runs per outing (17th in MLB). They have struck out on 926 instances (22nd in the league) and have 925 base hits.

The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.223 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.69 as a staff on the year. Their K/BB ratio is 8.70 (965 strikeouts against 319 free passes). They come in at 10th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 908. They have relinquished 111 homers and they concede 3.73 runs per 9 innings (1st in MLB). The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 416 runs on the year and come in with a team ERA of 3.49 (389 earned runs yielded).

Sitting with 118 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 73 holds and also 10 blown saves. Boston has called on relievers to enter the contest in 43 save opportunities and they have walked away with 33 saves. Boston relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 30.2% out of 126 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 99 times in high leverage situations and on 90 occasions with base runners. They sit at 2nd in the league with a save percentage of 76.7%, and they have dispatched 350 relief pitchers to the hill this year.

In their 9,030 innings on the field, the Red Sox have a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (17th in the majors). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 81 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have recorded 980 assists, 53 errors and are sitting with 3,010 putouts during this campaign.

Tolle (6-7 career record) has a 3.69 ERA and has surrendered 8.1 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.49 and he has gone up against 489 batters thus far in his career. He has surrendered a total of 48 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.213 and having a FIP of 3.6. So far in his career, Tolle has given up 105 base hits while earning 129 punch outs in 117 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Sacramento (+106)

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