Sacramento Athletics vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 5/7/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Sacramento Athletics vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Thursday, May 7, 2026

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Sacramento (+106) Philadelphia (-128)

The Sacramento Athletics (18-17) are headed to Citizens Bank Park on Thursday where they will take on the Philadelphia Phillies (16-20). The moneyline on this game has the Athletics at +106 and the Phillies are priced at -128. The over/under comes in at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be J.T. Ginn and Andrew Painter.

The Athletics have tallied 55 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 38 balls out of the stadium. Sacramento has a slugging rate of .398 and have been rung up 305 times, while taking a walk on 131 occasions. As a team, the Sacramento Athletics are compiling 4.3 runs per game, which has them sitting at 17th in MLB. They have compiled 147 runs batted in and 297 hits for the year, and their team batting average comes in at .249. They have accumulated 150 runs scored while having a team OBP of .326.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 1.74 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.48. Athletics pitchers have given up 45 home runs in addition to 168 total runs (20th in MLB). Sacramento has allowed 303 base hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and 163 earned runs. The Athletics have a team ERA of 4.68 this year (26th in baseball), and they have rung up 276 hitters. They have walked 159 hitters and their FIP is 4.92 as a team on the season.

Athletics relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 44 times in addition to having 48 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 24 holds for the year (9th in baseball). The Athletics relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 55.0% and have come into the game in 46 save situations. They have accumulated 11 saves on the year and have blown 9 of their 20 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 67 runners so far this year and 29.9% of those runners earned a run for their team. The Athletics have dispatched 121 relievers to the hill this season.

The Sacramento Athletics have 941 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 257 assists and 7 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .994 which ranks 1st in MLB, and they have turned 25 double plays. The Athletics have transformed 70.7% of balls in play into outs out of their 2,823 innings, which ranks them 9th in pro baseball.

Ginn has taken the hill for 153 innings and has accounted for 151 K's in his career. Ginn (5-9 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.69 while he has faced 657 batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.76 (81 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.338. He has given up 151 base hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 54 free passes.

The Philadelphia Phillies have recorded a team on-base percentage of .300 and a team batting average of .229 for the year. They have struck out on 289 occasions (20th in the league) and have earned a total of 280 hits. Philadelphia has tallied 39 home runs this year and 139 RBIs. The Phillies have a slugging percentage of .381 and they average 3.92 runs per contest (27th in the league). They have recorded 54 two-baggers, while walking 111 times as well as putting up 141 runs.

The Phillies have a WHIP of 1.438 with a FIP of 3.54 as a squad this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.60 (342 strikeouts against 112 free passes). They are currently ranked 30th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 347. They have surrendered 33 homers and they relinquish 4.94 runs per 9 innings (24th in MLB). The Philadelphia pitching staff have allowed 175 runs this season while holding an ERA of 4.51 (160 earned runs relinquished).

They sit at 15th in baseball with a save rate of 63.6%, and they have dispatched 126 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 30 times in high leverage situations in addition to 38 occasions with runners on. With 24 save situations, the Phillies have tallied 13 holds and also 4 blown saves. Philadelphia has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 11 save chances and they have earned 7 saves. Philadelphia relievers have an inherited score percentage of 34.0% out of their 47 inherited base runners.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 20 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (20th in MLB). The Phillies have accrued 317 assists, 19 errors and have earned a total of 958 putouts on the season. In their 2,874 innings played, the Phillies have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 64.2% (30th in the majors).

Painter (1-3 career win-loss record) has a 5.28 ERA and has surrendered 11.5 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.11 and he has gone up against 133 hitters in his pro baseball career. He has conceded a total of 17 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.586 and a FIP of 5.2. During his MLB career, Painter has allowed 37 base hits while tallying 28 punch outs in 29 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-128)

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