San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 8/3/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Monday, August 3, 2026

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: DBACKS.TV

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-160) Arizona (+132)

The Arizona Diamondbacks (58-52) will try to beat the San Diego Padres (56-54) at Chase Field on Monday. The moneyline on this contest has the Padres at -160 and the Diamondbacks are opening at +132. The over/under is 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Griffin Canning and Brandon Pfaadt.

As a team, the San Diego Padres are scoring 4.2 runs per game, which has them sitting at 22nd in MLB. They have earned a total of 461 runs scored and hold an OBP of .311. The Padres have tallied 163 doubles as a team and have hit 119 baseballs out of the park. They have recorded 447 RBI's and 848 hits on the season, and their average at the plate sits at .235. San Diego is slugging .384 and have struck out 903 times, while drawing a walk on 375 occasions.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.34 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.32. Padres pitchers have yielded 122 long balls and also 475 total runs (11th in baseball). San Diego has given up 900 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 446 earned runs. The Padres hold a team ERA of 4.13 on the campaign (15th in the league), and the staff has struck out 898 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 383 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.21 as a team so far this season.

The Padres relievers have a save percentage of 70.2% and have entered the game in 114 save situations. They have recorded 33 saves this season and have blown 14 of their 47 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 185 runners on the season with 31.9% of them ended up scoring. Padres pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 109 times as well as having 128 appearances in high leverage situations. The Padres have dispatched 373 relievers to the hill for the year. The relievers have racked up 65 holds for the season (10th in the league).

The San Diego Padres have 2,913 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 967 assists and 44 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .989 which is 4th in baseball, and have a total of 90 double plays. The Padres have converted 70.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 8,739 innings on the diamond, ranking them 13th in professional baseball.

Canning has taken the ball for 649 innings and is sitting with 620 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.85 (350 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.362. He has given up 634 hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 250 walks. Canning (34-46 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.78 while he has gone up against 2,791 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have accumulated an OBP of .313 as well as a team batting average of .241 on the campaign. They have struck out on 796 occasions (28th in baseball) and have earned a total of 889 base hits. Arizona has recorded 104 home runs this year to go along with 471 RBIs. The Diamondbacks have a team slugging percentage of .391 and they are recording 4.51 runs per game (13th in baseball). They have hit 191 doubles, while taking a walk 361 times and putting up 496 runs.

The Arizona pitching staff have conceded 493 runs over the course of the season while holding an ERA of 4.17 (452 earned runs surrendered). They have given up 131 dingers and they surrender 4.55 runs per 9 innings (16th in MLB). The Diamondbacks are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.291 in addition to having a FIP of 4.44 as a squad this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 6.80 (742 strikeouts against 321 bases on balls). They come in at 22nd in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 939.

Arizona relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 24.5% out of 139 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 121 times in high leverage situations in addition to 96 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 111 save situations, the Diamondbacks have 67 holds and 14 blown saves. They are ranked 13th in the league with a save percentage of 67.4%, and they have sent 367 relievers onto the field this season.

In 8,784 innings on the field, the Diamondbacks have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.2% (6th in baseball). The Arizona Diamondbacks have gotten 96 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .989 (3rd in professional baseball). The Diamondbacks have racked up 968 assists, 42 errors and have earned a total of 2,928 putouts for the season.

So far in his MLB career, Pfaadt has surrendered 562 base hits while earning 475 K's in 526 frames. Pfaadt (32-29 career win-loss record) has a 4.98 ERA and has given up 9.6 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 291 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.308 and having a FIP of 4.9. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.77 and he has gone up against 2,256 batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Arizona (+132)

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