San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 7/22/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Braves.TV

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (+150) Atlanta (-182)

Truist Park is the site where the Atlanta Braves (58-41) will try to defeat the San Diego Padres (49-51) on Wednesday. The odds on this game have the Padres at +150 and the Braves are sitting at -182. The total is 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Michael King and Martin Perez.

As a team, the San Diego Padres are recording 4.1 runs per outing, which puts them at 27th in baseball. They have 407 runs scored and hold an OBP of .305. The Padres have hit 148 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 108 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 396 runs batted in as well as 749 hits over the course of the season, and their batting average sits at .228. San Diego has a slugging % of .378 and have been rung up 824 times, while drawing a walk on 337 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.29 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.34. Padres pitchers have given up 112 home runs in addition to 440 total runs (12th in MLB). San Diego has given up 825 base knocks (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 414 earned runs. The Padres have a team earned run average of 4.22 on the campaign (16th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 810 hitters. They have walked 354 opposing players and their FIP is 4.26 as a squad over the course of the season.

The Padres relief pitchers have a save rate of 69.0% and have stepped onto the mound in 103 save situations. They have compiled 29 saves so far this year and have not converted 13 out of their 42 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 168 runners this year and 32.1% of them crossing the plate. Padres relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 99 times in addition to having 113 appearances in high leverage situations. The Padres have sent 338 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The bullpen have notched 59 holds on the campaign (9th in the league).

The Padres have converted 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 7,947 innings, which ranks them 14th in MLB. The San Diego Padres have earned a total of 2,649 putouts this year, as well as 880 assists and 39 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .989 which has them ranked 3rd in MLB, and they have turned 88 double plays.

King has taken the hill for 607 innings and has earned 655 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. King (37-36 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.21 while facing 2,533 batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.26 (220 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.187. He has surrendered 504 hits (7.5 hits per nine innings) with 217 free passes.

Atlanta has a total of 132 home runs on the year to go along with 475 runs batted in. They have 158 two-baggers, while getting a free base 297 times as well as putting up 492 runs. The Atlanta Braves have tallied an OBP of .316 and a team batting average of .250 on the season. The Braves have a SLG% of .418 and they score 4.97 runs per outing (6th in the league). They have struck out on 796 occasions (25th in the league) and have earned 841 base knocks.

The Atlanta pitching staff have allowed 383 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.60 (351 earned runs allowed). They have surrendered 111 homers and they allow 3.93 runs per 9 innings (6th in baseball). The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.227 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.08 as a pitching staff on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.50 (832 strikeouts against 326 free passes). They come in at 3rd in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 750.

With 114 save situations, the Braves have 70 holds and 12 blown saves. Atlanta has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 41 save chances and they have tallied 29 saves. Atlanta bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 26.7% out of 101 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 106 times in high leverage situations in addition to 69 occasions with runners on base. They sit at 8th in the league with a save percentage of 70.7%, and they have sent 315 bullpen pitchers onto the field on the campaign.

The Atlanta Braves have turned 77 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in MLB). The Braves have accrued 817 assists, 45 errors and are sitting with 2,633 putouts this season. In their 7,899 innings played, the Braves have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.7% (4th in the majors).

So far in his pro baseball career, Perez has allowed 1,815 hits while tallying 1,215 punch outs in 1,712 frames. Perez (97-99 win-loss record in his career) has a 4.37 ERA while giving up 9.5 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 832 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.423 and a FIP of 4.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.95 and he has faced 7,403 opposing batters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (-182)

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