San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 7/23/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Thursday, July 23, 2026

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Braves.TV

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (+150) Atlanta (-182)

The San Diego Padres (50-51) are on their way to Truist Park on Thursday where they will take on the Atlanta Braves (58-42). The odds on this game have the Padres at +150 while the Braves are coming in at -182. The betting total comes in at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Griffin Canning and Chris Sale.

The Padres have recorded 148 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 108 baseballs out of the stadium. San Diego has a slugging percentage of .378 and have been called out on strikes 824 times, while taking a walk on 337 occasions. As a unit, the San Diego Padres are earning 4.1 runs/g, which ranks them 27th in baseball. They have 396 runs batted in in addition to 749 base knocks for the season, while their team batting average comes in at .228. They have earned a total of 407 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .305.

Get all of our Free MLB Picks

The Padres have an earned run average of 4.22 on the season (16th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 810 hitters. Padres pitchers have given up 112 home runs and 440 runs in total (12th in baseball). They have walked 354 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.26 as a team for the season. San Diego has given up 825 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 414 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.29 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.34.

The Padres relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 69.0% and have come into the game in 103 save situations. They have compiled 29 saves for the season and have blown 13 of their 42 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 168 base runners on the year with 32.1% of those runners earned a run for their team. Padres relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 99 times and also have had 113 appearances in high leverage situations. The Padres have dispatched 338 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relievers are sitting with 59 holds on the season (9th in the league).

The San Diego Padres are sitting with 2,649 putouts this year, as well as 880 assists and 39 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .989 which is 3rd in baseball, and they have turned 88 double plays. The Padres have turned 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 7,947 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 14th in baseball.

Canning has taken the mound for 643 innings and has accumulated 612 K's so far in his career. Canning (33-45 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 4.77 and he has gone up against 2,767 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.84 (346 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.365. He has surrendered 628 hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) with 250 free passes.

The Braves have a slugging percentage of .418 and they tally 4.97 runs per game (6th in the league). They have put up 158 doubles, while getting a free base 297 times as well as earning 492 runs. Atlanta has tallied 132 home runs this year as well as 475 RBIs. They have been rung up on 796 occasions (25th in MLB) and have earned 841 hits. The Atlanta Braves have tallied an OBP of .316 as well as a team batting average of .250 so far this season.

The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.227 with a FIP of 4.08 as a squad this year. Their K/BB ratio is 8.50 (832 strikeouts vs 326 free passes). They are currently ranked 3rd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 750. They have surrendered 111 long balls and they yield 3.93 runs per 9 innings (6th in the league). The Atlanta pitching staff have given up 383 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 3.60 (351 earned runs conceded).

With 114 save situations, the Braves have 70 holds and also 12 blown saves. Atlanta has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 41 save chances and they have walked away with 29 saves. Atlanta relievers have an inherited score percentage of 26.7% out of their 101 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 106 times in high leverage situations in addition to 69 occasions with runners on base. They rank 8th in MLB with a save percentage of 70.7%, and they have sent 315 relievers onto the diamond so far this year.

In 7,899 innings on the diamond, the Braves hold a defensive efficiency of 71.7% (4th in the majors). The Atlanta Braves have gotten 77 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in baseball). The Braves have recorded 817 assists, 45 errors and have accumulated 2,633 putouts on the season.

Sale (155-94 career mark) holds a 2.96 earned run average and has conceded 7.3 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 5.28 and he has gone up against 8,815 opposing batters in his career. He has allowed 721 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.046 and a FIP of 2.9. During his pro baseball career, Sale has surrendered 1,778 base hits while tallying 2,702 strikeouts in 2,189 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take San Diego (+150)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.