San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 7/26/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins

Date: Sunday, July 26, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-132) Miami (+110)

LoanDepot Park is where the Miami Marlins (52-52) will take on the San Diego Padres (51-53) on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Padres at -132 and the Marlins are opening at +110. The total has been set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Walker Buehler and Janson Junk.

San Diego is slugging .382 and have struck out 868 times, while drawing a walk on 357 occasions. They have accounted for 419 runs batted in in addition to 784 base knocks over the course of the season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .229. The Padres have accrued 153 doubles as a squad and have smacked 116 baseballs out of the park. They have notched a total of 430 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .307. As a unit, the San Diego Padres are recording 4.1 runs per game, which ranks them 25th in MLB.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.30 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.34. Padres pitchers have allowed 118 home runs and 458 runs in total (13th in MLB). San Diego has conceded 861 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) as well as 431 earned runs. The Padres have an earned run average of 4.23 so far this year (20th in the league), and their staff has struck out 848 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 368 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.27 as a squad on the campaign.

The Padres bullpen have compiled a save rate of 68.2% and have come into the game in 106 save situations. They have accumulated 30 saves over the course of the season and have blown 14 of their 44 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 176 base runners this season and 32.4% of them crossing home plate. Padres bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 104 times and also have had 119 appearances in high leverage situations. The Padres have sent 354 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The relievers have notched 60 holds this year (11th in baseball).

The San Diego Padres have earned 2,751 putouts for the season, in addition to 905 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .989 which is 4th in MLB, and have a total of 88 double plays. The Padres have transformed 69.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of 8,253 innings, which has them sitting at 17th in baseball.

Buehler has thrown 933 innings and has earned 930 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. Buehler (63-34 career mark) sits with a FIP of 3.64 while he has faced 3,879 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.69 (383 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.183. He has given up 813 base knocks (7.8 hits per 9 innings) with 291 walks.

The Miami Marlins have a team on-base percentage of .326 as well as a team batting average of .251 on the year. They have struck out on 854 occasions (19th in MLB) and have totaled 870 base hits. Miami has accumulated 106 home runs for the year to go along with 442 runs batted in. The Marlins hold a team slugging % of .407 and they are scoring 4.41 runs per contest (17th in the league). They have recorded 175 two-baggers, while getting a free base 347 times as well as earning 459 runs.

The Miami pitching staff have given up 450 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.05 (411 earned runs yielded). They have given up 106 dingers and they allow 4.44 runs per 9 innings (10th in baseball). The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.251 and have a FIP of 4.06 as a unit on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.60 (876 strikeouts against 358 free passes). They are sitting at 4th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 784.

They rank 15th in the league with a save rate of 63.9%, and they have sent 334 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 101 times in high leverage situations in addition to 91 occasions with base runners. With 96 save situations, the Marlins have 58 holds in addition to 13 blown saves. Miami has had relievers step onto the mound in 36 save opportunities and they have come away with 23 saves. Miami relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 21.1% of 133 inherited runners.

In their 8,217 innings on the diamond, the Marlins are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 70.8% (8th in baseball). The Miami Marlins have gotten 75 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .981 (27th in pro baseball). The Marlins have accrued 855 assists, 68 errors and have earned 2,739 putouts over the course of the season.

So far in his MLB career, Junk has given up 245 hits while he has accumulated 162 K's in 219 frames. He has surrendered 120 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.320 and a FIP of 4.9. His K/BB ratio is 3.68 and he has faced 931 batters during his MLB career. Junk (11-13 career win-loss record) has a 4.93 earned run average while allowing 10.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+110)

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