San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Prediction, 8/17/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs New York Mets

Date: Monday, August 17, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (+110) New York (-130)

The San Diego Padres (66-58) are on their way to Citi Field on Monday where they will go up against the New York Mets (55-69). The line on this contest has San Diego at +110 and New York is priced at -130. The over/under is set at 8.5. The men taking the mound will be Walker Buehler and Nolan McLean.

San Diego is slugging .387 and have struck out 1,006 times, while being walked on 422 occasions. They have accumulated 511 runs batted in and 969 base knocks this season, and their team batting average is at .237. The Padres have accrued 183 doubles as a unit and have smacked 136 balls out of the park. They have 530 runs while having a team OBP of .314. As a unit, the San Diego Padres are recording 4.3 runs per outing, which ranks them 21st in the league.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.35 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.32. Padres pitchers have surrendered 137 home runs and 532 runs (11th in the league). San Diego has conceded 1,014 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 501 earned runs. The Padres have an ERA of 4.11 so far this season (17th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,009 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 430 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.18 as a team so far this season.

The Padres have sent 419 relievers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 199 base runners so far this year and 32.2% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The relievers have a total of 76 holds this year (9th in the league). Padres pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 118 times in addition to having 139 appearances in high leverage situations. They have earned 37 saves on the season and have missed out on 15 of their 52 save chances. The Padres relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 71.2% and have come into the game in 131 save situations.

The Padres have converted 70.0% of balls hit into play into outs in their 9,864 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 13th in baseball. The San Diego Padres have accounted for 3,288 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,096 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .988 which puts them in 4th in baseball, and have earned 101 double plays.

Buehler (64-34 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.63 and he has gone up against 3,964 hitters in the majors. He has given up 834 base hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 298 walks. His ERA is 3.68 (390 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.187. Buehler has taken the hill for 953 innings and has racked up 946 strikeouts during his pro baseball career.

The New York Mets hold an on-base percentage of .307 in addition to a batting average of .235 this year. They have struck out on 1,057 instances (13th in baseball) and are sitting with 981 hits. New York has tallied 151 home runs on the campaign as well as 496 runs batted in. The Mets have a slugging percentage of .389 and they earn 4.19 runs per contest (22nd in baseball). They have 155 doubles, while getting a free base 402 times as well as scoring 519 runs.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.303 and have a FIP of 4.00 as a unit this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.10 (1,115 strikeouts vs 440 free passes). They rank 13th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 998. They have allowed 134 long balls and they relinquish 4.58 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league). The New York pitching staff have relinquished 562 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 4.10 (503 earned runs relinquished).

With 85 save situations, the Mets have recorded 48 holds in addition to 14 blown saves. New York has had relief pitchers take the mound in 36 save opportunities and they have earned 22 saves. New York relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.8% out of their 160 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 123 times in high leverage situations and on 116 occasions with runners on. They sit at 19th in the league holding a save rate of 61.1%, and they have dispatched 377 relief pitchers to the hill on the season.

In 9,933 innings played, the Mets are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (23rd in pro baseball). The New York Mets have turned 77 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (28th in professional baseball). The Mets have accrued 981 assists, 80 errors and have a tally of 3,311 putouts on the campaign.

So far in his MLB career, McLean has allowed 139 hits while accumulating 216 K's in 184 innings. He has allowed 63 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.113 and having a FIP of 3.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.27 and he has gone up against 756 batters in his MLB career. McLean (13-9 career record) has a 3.08 ERA and has allowed 6.8 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-130)

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