San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Prediction, 8/19/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday, August 19, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (+125) New York (-150)

Citi Field is the location where the New York Mets (56-69) will attempt to defeat the San Diego Padres (67-58) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this contest has San Diego at +125 and New York is priced at -150. The over/under is set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Michael King and Robert Stock.

San Diego has a slugging % of .390 and have struck out 1,011 times, while being walked on 426 occasions. They have accounted for 516 RBI's and 979 base knocks so far this season, and their team batting average sits at .238. The Padres have recorded 183 doubles as a team and have hit 140 balls out of the park. They have a total of 535 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .314. As a squad, the San Diego Padres are recording 4.3 runs per game, which is 21st in baseball.

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The Padres have compiled a team ERA of 4.08 for the season (13th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,015 hitters. Padres pitchers have allowed 137 long balls and 532 runs (11th in the league). They have walked 433 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.17 as a team on the campaign. San Diego has conceded 1,017 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and also 501 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.34 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.31.

The Padres relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 71.2% and have stepped onto the mound in 132 save situations. They have earned 37 saves on the season and have not converted 15 out of their 52 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 199 runners on the year and 32.2% of them crossing home plate. Padres relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 118 times and also have had 139 appearances in high leverage situations. The Padres have dispatched 422 relievers to the hill for the year. The relievers have earned 77 holds on the year (8th in baseball).

The San Diego Padres have notched a total of 3,315 putouts for the season, in addition to 1,100 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .988 which has them ranked 4th in baseball, and have accumulated 101 double plays. The Padres have transformed 70.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 9,945 innings, which has them sitting 13th in pro baseball.

King has taken the mound for 636 frames and has tallied 683 punch outs in his career. His ERA is 3.28 (232 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.193. He has conceded 531 hits (7.5 hits per 9 innings) with 228 walks. King (39-37 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.23 and he has faced 2,654 opposing hitters in the majors.

The New York Mets have accumulated an on-base percentage of .307 and a team batting average of .236 this year. They have been rung up on 1,066 occasions (11th in the league) and have recorded 991 base hits. New York has hit 152 home runs this year as well as 500 RBIs. The Mets have a team slugging % of .390 and they have an average of 4.18 runs per contest (22nd in the league). They have recorded 157 doubles, while getting a free base 405 times as well as notching 523 runs.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.299 in addition to having a FIP of 3.99 as a pitching staff this season. They are sitting at 13th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,003. The New York pitching staff have surrendered 565 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 4.09 (506 earned runs yielded). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.10 (1,126 strikeouts against 442 free passes). They have conceded 135 homers and they yield 4.57 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB).

They rank 17th in MLB with a save percentage of 62.2%, and they have sent 380 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 126 times in high leverage situations and also on 117 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 88 save situations, the Mets have amassed 50 holds in addition to 14 blown saves. New York has had relievers step onto the hill in 37 save opportunities and they have walked away with 23 saves. New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 28.4% of 162 inherited runners.

In 10,014 innings on the diamond, the Mets are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 69.4% (21st in professional baseball). The New York Mets have gotten 77 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .982 (28th in pro baseball). The Mets have accrued 988 assists, 81 errors and have a tally of 3,338 putouts on the campaign.

In his career, Stock has allowed 96 base hits while he has accumulated 90 K's in 87 innings pitched. Stock (2-6 career mark) has earned a 5.16 earned run average and has conceded 9.9 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 50 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.697 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.73 and he has gone up against 406 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-150)

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