San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/4/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets

Date: Friday, September 4, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: San Francisco (+106) New York (-128)

The New York Mets (63-77) host the San Francisco Giants (58-82) at Citi Field on Friday. The moneyline on this contest has the Giants at +106 and the Mets are at -128. The betting total is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Matt Wilkinson and Nolan McLean.

As a unit, the San Francisco Giants are notching 4.2 runs/g, which ranks them 23rd in the league. They have accumulated 584 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .309. The Giants have hit 232 two-baggers as a team and have hit 157 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accounted for 563 runs batted in and 1,179 base knocks so far this year, while their team batting average sits at .248. San Francisco owns a slugging percentage of .407 and have been called out on strikes 1,116 times, while drawing a walk on 384 occasions.

Get all of our MLB Picks Today

They have a K/BB ratio of 2.05 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.36. Giants pitchers have allowed 130 home runs in addition to 654 total runs (21st in baseball). San Francisco has conceded 1,166 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) as well as 601 earned runs. The Giants have an ERA of 4.38 so far this year (23rd in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,057 batters. They have walked 516 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.15 as a squad for the season.

Giants bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 159 times as well as having 119 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have earned 75 holds so far this year (17th in baseball). The Giants relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 54.2% and have come into the game in 123 save situations. They have compiled 26 saves for the year and have blown 22 of their 48 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 245 runners for the season and 36.3% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Giants have dispatched 446 relievers to the mound so far this year.

The Giants have transformed 69.3% of balls in play into outs out of 11,115 innings on the diamond, ranking them 22nd in MLB. The San Francisco Giants have accumulated 3,705 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 1,310 assists and 90 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .982 which has them ranked 26th in MLB, and have accumulated 128 double plays.

Wilkinson has taken the mound for 0 frames and has 0 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 0.00 (0 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 0.000. He has conceded 0 base hits (0.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 0 walks. Wilkinson (0-0 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 0.00 while he has gone up against 0 batters in the major leagues.

New York has knocked in 168 HRs on the campaign as well as 549 RBIs. They have 179 two-baggers, while taking a walk 443 times and putting up 577 runs. The New York Mets have earned an OBP of .306 and a team batting average of .236 this season. The Mets have a team SLG% of .389 and they are earning 4.12 runs per contest (25th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,191 occasions (11th in MLB) and have tallied 1,111 base hits.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.301 and have a FIP of 4.05 as a pitching staff on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.00 (1,245 strikeouts against 494 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 14th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,127. They have relinquished 153 dingers and they allow 4.53 runs per 9 innings (17th in baseball). The New York pitching staff have given up 627 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 4.09 (566 earned runs relinquished).

They rank 19th in MLB with a save rate of 60.5%, and they have dispatched 433 relievers to the hill on the year. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 147 times in high leverage situations and on 130 occasions with runners on. With 109 save situations, the Mets have earned 62 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. New York has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 43 save opportunities and they have earned 26 saves. New York relievers hold an inherited score rate of 27.5% out of their 182 inherited base runners.

In 11,220 innings on the field, the Mets have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 69.6% (17th in baseball). The New York Mets have gotten 84 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in professional baseball). The Mets have accrued 1,104 assists, 86 errors and have notched a total of 3,740 putouts this year.

In his MLB career, McLean has surrendered 148 hits while accumulating 229 strikeouts in 203 innings. McLean (15-9 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 2.83 ERA while giving up 6.6 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 64 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.107 and having a FIP of 2.8. His K/BB ratio is 2.97 and he has faced 832 hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-128)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.