San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/5/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: San Francisco (+125) New York (-150)

Citi Field is the location where the New York Mets (63-77) will take on the San Francisco Giants (58-83) on Saturday. The odds on this game have San Francisco at +125 while New York is priced at -150. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Anthony Molina and Zac Thornton.

As a unit, the San Francisco Giants are notching 4.2 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 23rd in the league. They have accounted for 586 runs while holding a team OBP of .308. The Giants have hit 233 doubles as a team and have hit 157 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 565 RBI's and 1,181 hits over the course of the season, while their team batting average is sitting at .247. San Francisco has a slugging % of .405 and have been rung up 1,125 times, while being walked on 389 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.03 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.36. Giants pitchers have allowed 130 home runs in addition to 659 runs (21st in the league). San Francisco has allowed 1,171 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) in addition to 605 earned runs. The Giants hold a team earned run average of 4.38 so far this season (23rd in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,063 batters. They have walked 523 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.16 as a unit this season.

The Giants relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 54.2% and stepped onto the hill in 123 save situations. They have tallied 26 saves so far this season and have blown 22 out of their 48 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 245 runners so far this year with 36.3% of those players crossing the plate. Giants bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 159 times in addition to having 119 appearances in high leverage situations. The Giants have sent 449 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The relief pitchers have 75 holds this year (17th in MLB).

The Giants have turned 69.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,187 innings on the field, which has them sitting 22nd in MLB. The San Francisco Giants are sitting with 3,729 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,315 assists and 91 errors. Their fielding rate is at .982 which puts them in 26th in the majors, and they have turned 129 double plays.

Molina has taken the mound for 108 frames and is sitting with 74 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 6.57 (79 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.543. He has surrendered 137 hits (11.4 hits per 9 innings) and has 30 free passes. Molina (4-2 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 6.47 while he has gone up against 480 batters during his time in the majors.

The New York Mets have earned a team OBP of .306 and a batting average of .236 this season. They have been called out on strikes on 1,191 occasions (13th in baseball) and have 1,111 base knocks. New York has hit 168 home runs so far this year and 549 RBIs. The Mets have a team SLG% of .389 and they average 4.12 runs per contest (25th in MLB). They have hit 179 two-baggers, while walking 443 times as well as putting up 577 runs.

The New York pitching staff have allowed 627 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 4.09 (566 earned runs relinquished). They have given up 153 homers and they relinquish 4.53 runs per 9 innings (17th in baseball). The Mets have a WHIP of 1.301 and have a FIP of 4.05 as a unit so far this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.00 (1,245 strikeouts against 494 bases on balls). They come in at 14th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,127.

With 109 save situations, the Mets have amassed 62 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. New York has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 43 save opportunities and they have earned 26 saves. New York relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.5% out of their 182 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 147 times in high leverage situations and also on 130 occasions with base runners. They are currently ranked 19th in MLB with a save rate of 60.5%, and they have dispatched 433 relievers to the hill this season.

The New York Mets have turned 84 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (25th in professional baseball). The Mets have 1,104 assists, 86 errors and have amassed 3,740 putouts this season. Out of their 11,220 innings on the field, the Mets are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (17th in MLB).

In his career, Thornton has allowed 57 hits and he has 45 punch outs in 61 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 20 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.162 and a FIP of 2.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.21 and he has gone up against 245 hitters during his pro baseball career. Thornton (3-4 mark in his career) holds a 2.95 ERA while giving up 8.4 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take San Francisco (+125)

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