San Francisco Giants vs Sacramento Athletics Prediction, 5/16/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Francisco Giants vs Sacramento Athletics

Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026

Location: Sutter Health Park in West Sacramento, CA

TV: NBC Sports California

Odds/Point Spread: San Francisco (-145) Sacramento (+125)

The San Francisco Giants (18-26) are headed to Sutter Health Park on Saturday where they will try to beat the Sacramento Athletics (22-21). The odds on this game have the Giants at -145 while the Athletics are coming in at +125. The betting total is set at 8. The starting pitchers are Trevor McDonald and Luis Severino.

San Francisco has a slugging % of .362 and have been called out on strikes 351 times, while drawing a walk on 92 occasions. They have tallied 142 runs batted in and 357 hits over the course of the season, and their team batting average sits at .240. The Giants have recorded 75 doubles as a team and have hit 31 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 147 runs while holding a team OBP of .288. As a team, the San Francisco Giants are knocking in 3.3 runs per game, which ranks them 30th in MLB.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.04 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.33. Giants pitchers have given up 45 long balls and 192 runs in total (14th in the league). San Francisco has given up 351 base knocks (8.1 per 9 innings) in addition to 174 earned runs. The Giants have a team ERA of 4.00 on the campaign (13th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 349 hitters. They have walked 171 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.22 as a team on the season.

The Giants have sent 143 relievers to the hill on the season. The relievers have inherited 66 runners for the season with 27.3% of those players crossing home plate. The relievers have earned 24 holds this year (16th in baseball). Giants pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 46 times in addition to having 27 appearances in high leverage situations. They have tallied 8 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 5 out of their 13 chances to save the game. The Giants relievers have earned a save rate of 61.5% and have entered the game in 37 save situations.

The Giants have converted 70.4% of baseballs in play into outs in their 3,522 innings on the field, which has them ranked 13th in the majors. The San Francisco Giants have earned 1,174 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 443 assists and 24 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .985 which puts them in 21st in MLB, and have accumulated 46 double plays.

McDonald has thrown 30 innings and has tallied 27 strikeouts during his career. McDonald (2-0 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 2.06 while he has faced 120 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 2.09 (7 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 0.963. He has conceded 24 base knocks (7.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 5 walks.

The Athletics have a slugging percentage of .406 and they score 4.42 runs per game (12th in baseball). They have recorded 67 two-baggers, while taking a walk 160 times and scoring 190 runs. Sacramento has compiled 49 home runs so far this year as well as 187 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 373 occasions (12th in the league) and have 369 base hits. The Sacramento Athletics have compiled an OBP of .328 in addition to a team batting average of .252 over the course of the season.

The Athletics have a team WHIP of 1.446 in addition to having a FIP of 4.67 as a unit for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.00 (340 strikeouts against 182 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 23rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 372. They have surrendered 52 home runs and they yield 4.58 runs per 9 innings (17th in baseball). The Sacramento pitching staff have given up 195 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 4.37 (186 earned runs yielded).

Sacramento bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 27.8% out of 79 inherited base runners. Their relievers have taken the field 58 times in high leverage situations in addition to 53 occasions with runners on base. With 58 save situations, the Athletics have recorded 33 holds and 11 blown saves. They are ranked 25th in baseball with a save rate of 52.2%, and they have sent 149 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this year.

The Sacramento Athletics have gotten 30 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .991 (2nd in professional baseball). The Athletics have recorded 333 assists, 13 errors and have accumulated 1,151 putouts so far this season. In 3,453 innings on the diamond, the Athletics hold a efficiency on defense of 70.1% (15th in professional baseball).

Severino (75-59 career mark) holds a 3.93 ERA and has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.16 and he has gone up against 4,699 batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has conceded 489 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.227 and having a FIP of 3.9. In his career, Severino has given up 1,020 hits while accumulating 1,120 strikeouts in 1,120 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take San Francisco (-145)

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