Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox Prediction, 5/10/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox

Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026

Location: Rate Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Chicago Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (-144) Chicago (+120)

Rate Field is the site where the Chicago White Sox (17-20) will play the Seattle Mariners (18-20) on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has the Mariners at -144 and the White Sox open at +120. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Logan Gilbert and Davis Martin.

The Mariners have tallied 51 doubles as a unit and have hit 42 balls out of the park. Seattle owns a slugging percentage of .377 and have been called out on strikes 351 times, while drawing a walk on 148 occasions. As a squad, the Seattle Mariners are earning 4.0 runs per outing, which is 25th in baseball. They have accrued 148 runs batted in and 286 hits so far this year, while their team batting average is sitting at .229. They are sitting with 153 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .319.

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The Mariners have a team ERA of 3.63 so far this year (6th in MLB), and they have rung up 318 hitters. Mariners pitchers have allowed 37 long balls and 149 total runs (7th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 93 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.70 as a squad on the season. Seattle has given up 324 hits (8.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 137 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.42 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.23.

The Mariners have sent 119 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 41 runners so far this season and 12.2% of them ended up scoring. The relief pitchers have tallied 20 holds so far this season (20th in MLB). Mariners relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 31 times and also have had 49 appearances in high leverage situations. They have tallied 11 saves this year and have blown 5 out of their 16 save opportunities. The Mariners bullpen have recorded a save rate of 68.8% and have stepped onto the mound in 36 save situations.

The Seattle Mariners have accumulated 1,018 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 322 assists and 15 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .989 which puts them in 7th in the majors, and have a total of 41 double plays. The Mariners have converted 68.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 3,054 innings on the field, which has them sitting 26th in baseball.

Gilbert (49-39 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.56 and he has gone up against 3,562 batters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 750 hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 191 walks. His earned run average is 3.61 (353 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.070. Gilbert has pitched in 879 innings and has accounted for 927 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career.

Chicago has accounted for 45 home runs this year as well as 145 runs batted in. They have 38 doubles, while taking a walk 148 times and scoring 155 runs. The Chicago White Sox have compiled an OBP of .322 and a batting average of .229 so far this year. The White Sox have a slugging percentage of .380 and they average 4.19 runs per contest (20th in baseball). They have been rung up on 347 instances (7th in MLB) and have tallied 280 base knocks.

The Chicago pitching staff have conceded 171 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 4.24 (154 earned runs relinquished). They have conceded 38 homers and they relinquish 4.70 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB). The White Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.375 with a FIP of 4.40 as a team this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.10 (294 strikeouts against 155 bases on balls). They sit at 12th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 295.

Sitting with 33 save situations, the White Sox have accrued 13 holds and also 9 blown saves. Chicago has had relievers take the mound in 20 save opportunities and they have recorded 11 saves. Chicago relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 30.0% of 70 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 39 times in high leverage situations in addition to 46 occasions with runners on base. They rank 23rd in the league with a save percentage of 55.0%, and they have dispatched 130 relief pitchers onto the diamond on the year.

The Chicago White Sox have gotten 30 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in MLB). The White Sox have recorded 337 assists, 17 errors and are sitting with 983 putouts this season. Out of their 2,949 innings on the field, the White Sox have a efficiency on defense of 70.6% (13th in pro baseball).

Martin (15-22 career win-loss record) has a 3.93 ERA while giving up 8.6 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.47 and he has faced 1,259 hitters during his career. He has surrendered 131 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.280 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. During his career, Martin has surrendered 286 base knocks while he has accumulated 242 punch outs in 300 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (+120)

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