Seattle Mariners vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 7/9/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs Miami Marlins

Date: Thursday, July 9, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (-130) Miami (+110)

LoanDepot Park is the location where the Miami Marlins (50-42) will compete against the Seattle Mariners (47-45) on Thursday. The moneyline on this contest has the Mariners at -130 while the Marlins are sitting at +110. The over/under is set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Bryce Miller and Janson Junk.

As a squad, the Seattle Mariners are notching 4.1 runs per game, which is 27th in the league. They have 377 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .312. The Mariners have accounted for 114 doubles as a unit and have hit 110 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 364 RBI's and 704 hits for the year, while their batting average is .231. Seattle has a slugging % of .382 and have been called out on strikes 799 times, while being walked on 307 occasions.

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The Mariners are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.55 so far this year (4th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 795 hitters. Mariners pitchers have allowed 82 long balls and 351 runs (3rd in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 230 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.47 as a squad this year. Seattle has conceded 721 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) as well as 322 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.46 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.17.

Mariners bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 65 times as well as having 100 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have notched 53 holds for the season (10th in baseball). The Mariners relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 59.5% and have stepped onto the mound in 91 save situations. They have compiled 22 saves for the season and have not converted 15 of their 37 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 89 base runners this year and 27.0% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Mariners have sent 272 relief pitchers to the hill this year.

The Seattle Mariners have 2,449 putouts for the season, in addition to 749 assists and 46 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which ranks 16th in MLB, and have accumulated 81 double plays. The Mariners have turned 69.8% of balls in play into outs in their 7,347 innings, which has them sitting at 16th in the majors.

Miller has pitched in 454 innings and is sitting with 426 punch outs during his MLB career. His ERA is 3.75 (189 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.074. He has conceded 378 base knocks (7.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 110 free passes. Miller (28-23 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.69 and he has faced 1,820 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Marlins hold a slugging % of .411 and they tally 4.61 runs per game (11th in baseball). They have 157 doubles, while taking a walk 318 times and notching 424 runs. Miami is sitting with 93 home runs on the campaign to go along with 408 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 746 occasions (20th in baseball) and have totaled 779 hits. The Miami Marlins have earned a team on-base percentage of .331 in addition to a team batting average of .254 for the year.

The Miami pitching staff have given up 399 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 4.09 (368 earned runs relinquished). They have conceded 90 home runs and they relinquish 4.44 runs per 9 innings (11th in MLB). The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.246 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.01 as a squad over the course of the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (771 strikeouts vs 312 bases on balls). They rank 6th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 696.

They rank 15th in the league with a save rate of 66.7%, and they have sent 295 relievers to the hill on the campaign. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 89 times in high leverage situations in addition to 80 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 87 save situations, the Marlins have 52 holds and 11 blown saves. Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 33 save chances and they have recorded 22 saves. Miami relievers have an inherited score percentage of 20.3% of 118 inherited base runners.

The Miami Marlins have gotten 62 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in MLB). The Marlins have 749 assists, 56 errors and have 2,427 putouts on the season. Out of their 7,281 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 70.9% (9th in MLB).

During his pro baseball career, Junk has given up 237 hits while accumulating 154 punch outs in 210 innings. Junk (10-12 career record) has earned a 4.84 earned run average and has conceded 10.2 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 113 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.305 and a FIP of 4.8. His K/BB ratio is 4.16 and he has faced 891 opposing batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+110)

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