Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Prediction, 8/11/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees

Date: Tuesday, August 11, 2026

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (+106) New York (-128)

The Seattle Mariners (56-62) are hitting the road to Yankee Stadium on Tuesday where they will meet the New York Yankees (66-51). The moneyline on this matchup has the Mariners at +106 while the Yankees are at -128. The total has been set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Bryan Woo and Ryan Weathers.

As a team, the Seattle Mariners are earning 3.9 runs per game, which has them sitting at 30th in baseball. They have notched a total of 461 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .308. The Mariners have accumulated 142 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 137 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 445 RBI's in addition to 893 base knocks this season, while their batting average is .229. Seattle is slugging .376 and have struck out 1,005 times, while drawing a walk on 385 occasions.

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The Mariners have a team ERA of 3.78 so far this season (8th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,006 hitters. Mariners pitchers have surrendered 129 long balls in addition to 477 runs in total (8th in the league). They have walked 295 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.76 as a squad on the campaign. Seattle has conceded 953 base knocks (8.2 per 9 innings) in addition to 438 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.41 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.20.

The Mariners have dispatched 351 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The relievers have inherited 111 runners this season with 31.5% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The bullpen have earned 60 holds for the year (18th in the league). Mariners pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 81 times as well as having 116 appearances in high leverage situations. They have tallied 26 saves for the year and have blown 18 of 44 save chances. The Mariners bullpen have earned a save percentage of 59.1% and have stepped onto the mound in 105 save situations.

The Mariners have converted 69.7% of balls in play into outs out of 9,381 innings on the field, ranking them 17th in the majors. The Seattle Mariners have a tally of 3,127 putouts this season, in addition to 956 assists and 59 errors. Their fielding rate is at .986 which has them sitting 15th in professional baseball, and have earned 99 double plays.

Woo has taken the hill for 522 innings and has accounted for 519 K's so far in his MLB career. Woo (36-23 career mark) has a FIP of 3.43 while he has gone up against 2,097 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.48 (202 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.015. He has surrendered 423 base knocks (7.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 107 walks.

The New York Yankees have earned an on-base percentage of .310 as well as a batting average of .231 on the campaign. They have been rung up on 1,074 occasions (5th in the league) and have tallied 896 base hits. New York has 166 long balls so far this year as well as 504 RBIs. The Yankees have a team slugging % of .412 and they are recording 4.53 runs per contest (12th in MLB). They have hit 174 two-baggers, while taking a walk 431 times and putting up 530 runs.

The Yankees have a team WHIP of 1.185 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.66 as a team on the year. They come in at 3rd in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 879. The New York pitching staff have conceded 447 runs over the course of the season while holding an ERA of 3.33 (386 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.10 (1,051 strikeouts vs 358 free passes). They have relinquished 115 homers and they allow 3.85 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league).

New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 22.5% out of their 204 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 138 times in high leverage situations and also on 141 occasions with base runners. With 118 save situations, the Yankees have earned 63 holds in addition to 21 blown saves. They rank 17th in baseball holding a save percentage of 61.1%, and they have dispatched 394 relievers to the mound so far this season.

Out of their 9,402 innings played, the Yankees have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.0% (8th in MLB). The New York Yankees have gotten 88 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (17th in professional baseball). The Yankees have racked up 1,027 assists, 61 errors and have accumulated 3,134 putouts during this campaign.

In his MLB career, Weathers has allowed 404 base knocks while he has accumulated 367 punch outs in 402 innings pitched. Weathers (17-30 career record) has a 4.59 earned run average while allowing 9.0 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 205 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.336 and a FIP of 4.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.76 and he has faced 1,715 hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take New York (-128) and under 8.5 runs

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