Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 8/28/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Friday, August 28, 2026

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (+162) Toronto (-196)

The Toronto Blue Jays (65-69) will play the Seattle Mariners (64-70) at Rogers Centre on Friday. The moneyline on this game has the Mariners at +162 and the Blue Jays are at -196. The total has been set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Emerson Hancock and Dylan Cease.

Seattle is slugging .375 and have struck out 1,159 times, while taking a walk on 450 occasions. They have compiled 507 runs batted in in addition to 1,012 base knocks this year, while their average at the plate is sitting at .228. The Mariners have tallied 158 doubles as a squad and have knocked 155 balls out of the park. They have earned 526 runs and hold an OBP of .309. As a unit, the Seattle Mariners are scoring 3.9 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 29th in MLB.

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The Mariners have a team ERA of 4.10 this year (15th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,143 hitters. Mariners pitchers have conceded 156 long balls in addition to 583 runs in total (13th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 346 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.89 as a team for the year. Seattle has allowed 1,117 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and 539 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.30 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.24.

The Mariners have sent 407 relievers to the mound for the year. The relievers have inherited 134 runners for the season with 30.6% of those runners crossing the plate. The bullpen are sitting with 70 holds for the year (16th in MLB). Mariners bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 96 times as well as having 134 appearances in high leverage situations. They have compiled 30 saves on the campaign and have blown 21 of their 51 chances to get a save. The Mariners relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 58.8% and stepped onto the hill in 122 save situations.

The Seattle Mariners are sitting with 3,552 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,097 assists and 69 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .985 which ranks 15th in baseball, and have a total of 110 double plays. The Mariners have turned 69.2% of balls in play into outs in their 10,656 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 24th in the majors.

Hancock (15-16 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 4.11 while he has faced 1,243 opposing batters in the majors. He has allowed 286 base knocks (8.7 hits per 9 innings) with 85 walks. His earned run average is 4.17 (137 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.256. Hancock has taken the ball for 295 innings and has earned 234 punch outs in his career.

The Blue Jays hold a slugging percentage of .379 and they are scoring 3.93 runs per game (30th in MLB). They have put up 214 two-baggers, while getting a free base 365 times and scoring 527 runs. Toronto has 125 home runs for the season and 504 RBIs. They have struck out on 973 occasions (28th in MLB) and have notched a total of 1,108 base hits. The Toronto Blue Jays have recorded a team on-base percentage of .306 in addition to a team batting average of .245 for the year.

The Toronto pitching staff have surrendered 581 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.94 (522 earned runs surrendered). They have allowed 136 dingers and they concede 4.39 runs per 9 innings (12th in baseball). The Blue Jays have a team WHIP of 1.309 in addition to having a FIP of 3.94 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.80 (1,168 strikeouts vs 494 bases on balls). They rank 10th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,066.

With 152 save situations, the Blue Jays have 88 holds in addition to 15 blown saves. Toronto has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 60 save opportunities and they have come away with 45 saves. Toronto relievers have an inherited score percentage of 27.0% out of 211 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 172 times in high leverage situations and on 147 occasions with base runners. They are ranked 4th in MLB with a save rate of 75.0%, and they have sent 500 relievers to the mound so far this season.

The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 90 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (21st in MLB). The Blue Jays have accrued 1,136 assists, 80 errors and have accumulated 3,577 putouts this season. In 10,731 innings on the diamond, the Blue Jays have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (16th in the majors).

Thus far in his career, Cease has surrendered 943 base hits while he has totaled 1,440 strikeouts in 1,159 frames. He has conceded a total of 476 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.240 and a FIP of 3.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.91 and he has gone up against 4,883 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career. Cease (73-63 record in his career) has a 3.70 earned run average and has given up 7.3 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Seattle (+162)

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