St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 7/1/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Wednesday, July 1, 2026

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Braves.TV

Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis (+162) Atlanta (-196)

Truist Park is the location where the Atlanta Braves (49-33) will take on the St. Louis Cardinals (43-38) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has the Cardinals at +162 while the Braves are at -196. The total has been set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Michael McGreevy and Reynaldo Lopez.

The Cardinals have accumulated 114 doubles as a squad and have knocked 89 baseballs out of the park. St. Louis has a slugging % of .393 and have struck out 625 times, while taking a walk on 268 occasions. As a unit, the St. Louis Cardinals are scoring 4.5 runs per game, which is 16th in baseball. They have 350 runs batted in and 670 hits for the year, and their batting average is at .246. They have a total of 362 runs and have an OBP of .324.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.25 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.35. Cardinals pitchers have allowed 89 home runs in addition to 370 total runs (13th in baseball). St. Louis has conceded 706 base hits (8.8 per 9 innings) and 343 earned runs. The Cardinals have an earned run average of 4.26 over the course of the season (19th in the league), and the staff has rung up 606 batters. They have walked 269 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.29 as a squad on the year.

The Cardinals relievers have a save percentage of 65.8% and have stepped onto the mound in 98 save situations. They have 25 saves so far this year and have blown 13 of 38 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 124 runners on the season with 34.7% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Cardinals bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 86 times as well as having 95 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cardinals have dispatched 274 relievers to the hill so far this year. The bullpen are sitting with 58 holds over the course of the season (3rd in MLB).

The St. Louis Cardinals have accounted for 2,174 putouts on the year, as well as 772 assists and 37 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .988 which is 9th in baseball, and have a total of 76 double plays. The Cardinals have converted 69.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,522 innings on the field, which has them sitting 19th in baseball.

McGreevy (14-10 career mark) sits with a FIP of 3.55 while he has faced 841 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has conceded 197 hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) with 43 free passes. His earned run average is 3.60 (83 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.158. McGreevy has taken the hill for 207 innings and has totaled 133 punch outs in his pro baseball career.

The Atlanta Braves are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .311 and a team batting average of .248 over the course of the season. They have been called out on strikes on 649 instances (26th in MLB) and have notched a total of 689 hits. Atlanta has tallied 103 home runs this season to go along with 380 runs batted in. The Braves have a SLG% of .409 and they have an average of 4.76 runs per game (9th in baseball). They have put up 125 two-baggers, while taking a walk 239 times as well as putting up 390 runs.

The Atlanta pitching staff have surrendered 302 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 3.41 (275 earned runs yielded). They have yielded 86 long balls and they surrender 3.74 runs per 9 innings (3rd in baseball). The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.212 and have a FIP of 3.93 as a unit for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.70 (706 strikeouts against 271 walks). They sit at 3rd in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 609.

Atlanta relievers have an inherited score percentage of 26.9% of 78 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 81 times in high leverage situations and on 54 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 85 save situations, the Braves have earned 51 holds and 7 blown saves. They are currently ranked 3rd in baseball with a save percentage of 77.4%, and they have sent 252 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond for the year.

The Atlanta Braves have turned 59 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (10th in MLB). The Braves have racked up 666 assists, 37 errors and have notched a total of 2,180 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 6,540 innings played, the Braves are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.7% (3rd in MLB).

In his career, Lopez has allowed 795 hits and he has 806 punch outs in 866 innings. He has given up a total of 377 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.280 and a FIP of 3.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.57 and he has faced 3,660 batters so far in his MLB career. Lopez (50-55 career record) has earned a 3.92 ERA and has given up 8.3 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-196)

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