St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Mets Prediction, 6/11/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Mets

Date: Thursday, June 11, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis (+162) New York (-196)

The New York Mets (29-36) are hosting the St. Louis Cardinals (35-28) at Citi Field on Thursday. The odds on this game have the Cardinals at +162 while the Mets are at -196. The total comes in at 9. The starting pitchers are Hunter Dobbins and Nolan McLean.

St. Louis has a slugging percentage of .387 and have struck out 511 times, while being walked on 214 occasions. They have 267 RBI's and 512 hits on the year, and their average at the plate sits at .242. The Cardinals have hit 89 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 69 balls out of the park. They have notched a total of 278 runs while holding a team OBP of .322. As a squad, the St. Louis Cardinals are notching 4.4 runs per game, which puts them at 14th in the league.

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The Cardinals hold a team ERA of 4.09 so far this year (16th in MLB), and they have struck out 487 batters. Cardinals pitchers have relinquished 65 home runs and 280 total runs (12th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 220 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.21 as a squad for the season. St. Louis has allowed 549 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and 258 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.21 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.36.

The Cardinals relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 66.7% and stepped onto the hill in 83 save situations. They have earned 22 saves over the course of the season and have blown 11 of 33 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 102 runners over the course of the season and 32.4% of them ended up scoring. Cardinals relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 71 times in addition to having 79 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cardinals have dispatched 220 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. The relievers have earned 48 holds for the year (2nd in baseball).

The St. Louis Cardinals have accounted for 1,703 putouts on the campaign, as well as 592 assists and 32 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which puts them in 16th in pro baseball, and have 61 double plays. The Cardinals have turned 69.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 5,109 innings, which has them ranked 24th in the majors.

Dobbins has taken the mound for 74 innings and has racked up 59 strikeouts so far in his career. Dobbins (5-1 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.83 while he has faced 309 opposing batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.89 (32 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.284. He has given up 71 base knocks (8.6 hits per nine innings) and has 24 free passes.

New York has compiled 67 long balls over the course of the season and 252 runs batted in. They have recorded 82 doubles, while getting a free base 184 times and recording 265 runs. The New York Mets are sitting with a team OBP of .294 as well as a batting average of .230 for the year. The Mets have a team SLG% of .367 and they are scoring 4.08 runs per outing (23rd in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 530 instances (20th in MLB) and are sitting with 500 base knocks.

The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.278 in addition to having a FIP of 3.71 as a pitching staff on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.20 (595 strikeouts against 239 bases on balls). They are sitting at 9th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 505. They have yielded 57 dingers and they yield 4.17 runs per 9 innings (10th in baseball). The New York pitching staff have allowed 270 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.76 (243 earned runs given up).

New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 31.5% of 89 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 83 times in high leverage situations and also on 71 occasions with runners on. With 45 save situations, the Mets have 26 holds and also 9 blown saves. They rank 27th in the league with a save rate of 52.6%, and they have sent 197 bullpen pitchers onto the field so far this season.

The New York Mets have turned 36 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (21st in pro baseball). The Mets have 527 assists, 35 errors and have a total of 1,748 putouts this year. Out of their 5,244 innings on the diamond, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (15th in professional baseball).

During his MLB career, McLean has given up 87 hits and he has 139 punch outs in 120 frames. He has given up a total of 43 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.082 and having a FIP of 3.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.23 and he has gone up against 487 hitters during his MLB career. McLean (8-5 mark in his career) has earned a 3.22 ERA while surrendering 6.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take St. Louis (+162)

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