St. Louis Cardinals vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 8/1/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Saturday, August 1, 2026

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis (+126) Toronto (-152)

The St. Louis Cardinals (54-55) are traveling to Rogers Centre on Saturday where they will attempt to beat the Toronto Blue Jays (50-59). The moneyline on this game has St. Louis at +126 and Toronto is sitting at -152. The over/under comes in at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Matthew Liberatore and Kevin Gausman.

St. Louis has a slugging rate of .378 and have struck out 838 times, while being walked on 349 occasions. They have accrued 464 RBI's and 872 hits on the campaign, and their batting average is .239. The Cardinals have hit 147 doubles as a unit and have hit 113 balls out of the park. They have earned 476 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .314. As a team, the St. Louis Cardinals are scoring 4.4 runs per game, which is 17th in MLB.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.28 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.35. Cardinals pitchers have given up 107 long balls in addition to 490 total runs (16th in baseball). St. Louis has conceded 944 base knocks (8.7 per 9 innings) and also 451 earned runs. The Cardinals have an earned run average of 4.16 on the year (15th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 838 batters. They have walked 368 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.10 as a squad so far this season.

The Cardinals have sent 368 relievers to the hill this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 171 base runners over the course of the season with 36.3% of them ended up scoring. The relief pitchers have 69 holds this year (6th in the league). Cardinals bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 119 times and also have had 135 appearances in high leverage situations. They have earned 31 saves on the campaign and have blown 19 of 50 save opportunities. The Cardinals relievers have earned a save percentage of 62.0% and have entered the game in 122 save situations.

The Cardinals have converted 69.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 8,778 innings on the field, which ranks them 23rd in professional baseball. The St. Louis Cardinals have earned a total of 2,926 putouts on the year, in addition to 1,023 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .988 which ranks 6th in baseball, and have accumulated 100 double plays.

Liberatore (21-32 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 4.71 and he has gone up against 1,898 batters in the major leagues. He has allowed 467 hits (9.6 hits per nine innings) and has 151 free passes. His ERA is 4.79 (232 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.417. Liberatore has taken the mound for 436 innings and has accumulated 372 strikeouts so far in his MLB career.

The Blue Jays have a team SLG% of .380 and they average 3.94 runs per contest (29th in baseball). They have recorded 170 doubles, while getting a free base 295 times as well as scoring 430 runs. Toronto has knocked in 107 home runs this season and 412 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 787 occasions (29th in baseball) and have notched a total of 889 base knocks. The Toronto Blue Jays have compiled an OBP of .304 as well as a batting average of .243 on the year.

The Blue Jays have a WHIP of 1.313 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.98 as a pitching staff so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.00 (967 strikeouts against 387 free passes). They sit at 13th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 878. They have allowed 118 long balls and they relinquish 4.58 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league). The Toronto pitching staff have conceded 490 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 4.15 (444 earned runs conceded).

They are ranked 5th in MLB holding a save percentage of 71.7%, and they have dispatched 398 relief pitchers onto the field on the year. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 123 times in high leverage situations and on 117 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 119 save situations, the Blue Jays have earned 70 holds in addition to 13 blown saves. Toronto has had relief pitchers enter the game in 46 save opportunities and they have earned 33 saves. Toronto relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.7% of 174 inherited base runners.

In 8,673 innings played, the Blue Jays hold a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (24th in pro baseball). The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 75 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in the majors). The Blue Jays have accrued 919 assists, 72 errors and have accounted for 2,891 putouts on the season.

In his career, Gausman has allowed 1,954 base knocks while he has tallied 2,077 K's in 2,032 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 871 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.242 and a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 3.64 and he has faced 8,501 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Gausman (116-123 career mark) is the owner of a 3.86 earned run average and has surrendered 8.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take St. Louis (+126)

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