Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 5/26/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Tuesday, May 26, 2026

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-160) Baltimore (+132)

The Baltimore Orioles (24-30) will try to defeat the Tampa Bay Rays (34-17) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Tuesday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Rays at -160 and the Orioles are priced at +132. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Griffin Jax and Shane Baz.

The Rays have tallied 71 two-baggers as a team and have hit 41 balls out of the park. Tampa Bay has a slugging rate of .388 and have been rung up 355 times, while taking a walk on 174 occasions. As a squad, the Tampa Bay Rays are notching 4.7 runs per outing, which has them at 8th in baseball. They have accrued 222 runs batted in and 437 base knocks so far this year, and their team batting average sits at .260. They have a total of 236 runs while holding a team OBP of .335.

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The Rays have an ERA of 3.51 so far this season (5th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 387 hitters. Rays pitchers have allowed 53 home runs in addition to 196 runs in total (6th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 154 opposing players and their FIP is 4.00 as a squad this year. Tampa Bay has surrendered 383 base knocks (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 176 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.51 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.19.

The Rays relievers have earned a save percentage of 74.2% and have entered the game in 72 save situations. They have tallied 23 saves for the season and have blown 8 out of their 31 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 61 base runners for the year and 24.6% of those runners crossing the plate. Rays pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 47 times and also have had 60 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rays have dispatched 160 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. The relief pitchers have a total of 41 holds on the season (4th in baseball).

The Tampa Bay Rays have accounted for 1,352 putouts for the season, in addition to 412 assists and 32 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .982 which ranks 28th in baseball, and have a total of 33 double plays. The Rays have turned 72.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 4,056 innings, which ranks them 3rd in the majors.

Jax has thrown 384 frames and is sitting with 429 K's so far in his career. Jax (24-33 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.95 while he has gone up against 1,600 opposing batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.01 (171 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.169. He has conceded 330 base hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 119 free passes.

The Orioles hold a team SLG% of .387 and they earn 4.30 runs per game (16th in the league). They have tallied 89 doubles, while walking 203 times as well as scoring 228 runs. Baltimore has accounted for 58 HRs so far this year to go along with 224 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 489 occasions (3rd in baseball) and have tallied 408 base hits. The Baltimore Orioles have a team OBP of .314 in addition to a team batting average of .232 on the year.

The Orioles have a team WHIP of 1.438 and have a FIP of 4.37 as a squad for the year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.30 (427 strikeouts vs 198 free passes). They rank 27th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 471. They have yielded 62 home runs and they give up 5.51 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league). The Baltimore pitching staff have relinquished 285 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 4.86 (251 earned runs conceded).

Baltimore relievers have an inherited score percentage of 20.0% out of their 70 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 49 times in high leverage situations and on 48 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 51 save situations, the Orioles have 31 holds and also 5 blown saves. They are ranked 5th in MLB with a save rate of 73.7%, and they have sent 181 relievers to the mound so far this year.

In their 4,188 innings played, the Orioles have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 68.1% (28th in baseball). The Baltimore Orioles have gotten 40 double plays and have a fielding rate of .984 (25th in MLB). The Orioles have recorded 438 assists, 30 errors and have notched a total of 1,396 putouts so far this year.

Baz (18-22 career win-loss record) has a 4.35 earned run average while conceding 8.0 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.66 and he has gone up against 1,446 opposing batters so far in his MLB career. He has surrendered 166 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.265 and having a FIP of 4.3. In his pro baseball career, Baz has given up 306 base hits while earning 341 punch outs in 343 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baltimore (+132)

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