Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 5/27/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Wednesday, May 27, 2026

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-152) Baltimore (+126)

Oriole Park at Camden Yards is the site where the Baltimore Orioles (24-30) will play the Tampa Bay Rays (34-17) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Rays at -152 and the Orioles are sitting at +126. The total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Steven Matz and Trey Gibson.

As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are scoring 4.8 runs per outing, which has them at 7th in baseball. They have accounted for 243 runs while having a team OBP of .334. The Rays have hit 74 doubles as a unit and have knocked 43 baseballs out of the park. They have accrued 229 RBI's as well as 449 hits this season, while their average at the plate is sitting at .260. Tampa Bay has a slugging percentage of .389 and have struck out 365 times, while drawing a walk on 178 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.48 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.20. Rays pitchers have conceded 54 home runs in addition to 205 total runs (6th in the league). Tampa Bay has relinquished 395 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 180 earned runs. The Rays hold a team ERA of 3.50 on the campaign (5th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 396 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 160 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.00 as a team this season.

The Rays relievers have compiled a save rate of 69.7% and have come into the game in 74 save situations. They have recorded 23 saves for the year and have missed out on 10 of their 33 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 64 base runners on the year with 25.0% of them crossing home plate. Rays bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 51 times and also have had 65 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rays have dispatched 165 relievers to the mound on the year. The bullpen have racked up 41 holds on the campaign (4th in baseball).

The Tampa Bay Rays have notched a total of 1,389 putouts this year, in addition to 432 assists and 36 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .981 which is 29th in professional baseball, and have earned 34 double plays. The Rays have converted 72.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 4,167 innings, which ranks them 4th in MLB.

Matz has pitched in 1,045 innings and has earned 973 punch outs in his MLB career. Matz (64-63 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.11 while he has gone up against 4,449 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.18 (485 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.301. He has given up 1,054 base knocks (9.1 hits per nine innings) and has 306 walks.

Baltimore has accumulated 59 HRs for the season to go along with 232 RBIs. They have recorded 90 two-baggers, while walking 209 times as well as racking up 237 runs. The Baltimore Orioles have a team on-base percentage of .315 in addition to a batting average of .233 for the year. The Orioles hold a team slugging percentage of .386 and they are scoring 4.39 runs per contest (15th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 498 occasions (4th in the league) and have 420 base knocks.

The Orioles hold a team WHIP of 1.433 in addition to having a FIP of 4.36 as a staff over the course of the season. They sit at 27th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 483. The Baltimore pitching staff have yielded 292 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 4.80 (255 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.20 (437 strikeouts against 202 free passes). They have given up 64 homers and they give up 5.50 runs per 9 innings (30th in MLB).

Baltimore relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 19.7% of 71 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 53 times in high leverage situations and on 51 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 52 save situations, the Orioles have earned 31 holds in addition to 6 blown saves. They sit at 7th in MLB with a save percentage of 70.0%, and they have dispatched 187 relief pitchers onto the diamond over the course of the season.

The Baltimore Orioles have turned 40 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (26th in baseball). The Orioles have recorded 449 assists, 31 errors and have earned 1,435 putouts over the course of the season. In their 4,305 innings on the diamond, the Orioles are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.2% (28th in the majors).

So far in his career, Gibson has allowed 7 base knocks while earning 4 strikeouts in 6 innings pitched. Gibson (0-0 career mark) holds a 5.81 earned run average while allowing 10.2 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 4 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.613 and having a FIP of 5.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.33 and he has gone up against 31 opposing batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-152)

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