Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/9/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+132) Boston (-160)

The Boston Red Sox (16-22) will try to beat the Tampa Bay Rays (25-12) at Fenway Park on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has the Rays at +132 and the Red Sox are opening at -160. The over/under comes in at 8. The men taking the mound are Nick Martinez and Ranger Suarez.

As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are scoring 4.5 runs per game, which ranks them 12th in MLB. They have earned a total of 167 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .330. The Rays have accrued 46 doubles as a squad and have knocked 31 balls out of the stadium. They have accrued 157 runs batted in as well as 319 hits on the year, while their team batting average is at .257. Tampa Bay is slugging .379 and have been called out on strikes 257 times, while drawing a walk on 123 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.47 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.17. Rays pitchers have given up 38 home runs and 148 runs in total (6th in the league). Tampa Bay has given up 275 base hits (7.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 131 earned runs. The Rays are sitting with a team ERA of 3.54 this season (4th in MLB), and they have rung up 287 batters. They have walked 116 batters and their FIP sits at 4.01 as a squad for the year.

Rays bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 34 times in addition to having 42 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 31 holds so far this year (2nd in MLB). The Rays relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 80.0% and have entered the game in 51 save situations. They have 16 saves so far this season and have blown 4 out of their 20 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 44 base runners on the campaign with 29.5% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Rays have dispatched 120 relief pitchers to the hill for the season.

The Rays have converted 72.8% of balls in play into outs in their 3,000 innings on the field, which ranks them 3rd in MLB. The Tampa Bay Rays have notched a total of 1,000 putouts for the season, in addition to 299 assists and 26 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .980 which is 29th in pro baseball, and they have turned 21 double plays.

Martinez (51-60 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.99 and he has gone up against 4,155 hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 968 hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) with 299 free passes. His ERA is 4.05 (442 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.290. Martinez has thrown 982 innings and has totaled 698 punch outs during his MLB career.

The Red Sox hold a team SLG% of .353 and they tally 4.03 runs per game (24th in baseball). They have hit 60 two-baggers, while taking a walk 127 times and putting up 153 runs. Boston has compiled 27 HRs over the course of the season as well as 146 runs batted in. They have struck out on 323 occasions (11th in baseball) and have 302 base hits. The Boston Red Sox hold an on-base percentage of .315 as well as a batting average of .237 on the year.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.316 and have a FIP of 4.41 as a staff this year. They come in at 20th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 313. The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 164 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 4.11 (153 earned runs yielded). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.10 (301 strikeouts vs 128 walks). They have given up 46 home runs and they give up 4.40 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB).

Sitting with 29 save situations, the Red Sox have accumulated 18 holds and 4 blown saves. Boston has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 11 save opportunities and they have walked away with 7 saves. Boston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.0% out of their 50 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 32 times in high leverage situations and on 34 occasions with base runners. They rank 15th in baseball holding a save percentage of 63.6%, and they have dispatched 116 relievers to the hill so far this season.

In 3,018 innings on the field, the Red Sox have earned a efficiency on defense of 70.3% (15th in the majors). The Boston Red Sox have turned 30 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (14th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have racked up 347 assists, 18 errors and have accounted for 1,006 putouts so far this year.

During his pro baseball career, Suarez has allowed 755 base hits while he has earned 737 punch outs in 801 innings. He has given up a total of 298 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.255 and having a FIP of 3.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.95 and he has gone up against 3,345 hitters in his MLB career. Suarez (55-39 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.35 earned run average while giving up 8.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Boston (-160) and under 8 runs

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