Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/19/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, July 19, 2026

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+102) Boston (-122)

The Boston Red Sox (46-48) will try to defeat the Tampa Bay Rays (56-38) at Fenway Park on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Rays at +102 while the Red Sox open at -122. The over/under is set at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Shane McClanahan and Sonny Gray.

As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are notching 4.5 runs per game, which has them sitting at 15th in baseball. They have earned a total of 425 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .334. The Rays have tallied 133 doubles as a team and have hit 94 baseballs out of the stadium. They have compiled 404 runs batted in in addition to 811 base knocks so far this season, while their batting average comes in at .259. Tampa Bay has a slugging percentage of .401 and have been called out on strikes 672 times, while taking a walk on 329 occasions.

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The Rays have a team ERA of 3.80 on the year (9th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 762 hitters. Rays pitchers have allowed 118 long balls and 393 runs in total (9th in the league). They have walked 252 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.13 as a team so far this season. Tampa Bay has given up 732 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and 354 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 3.02 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.17.

The Rays have sent 299 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The relievers have inherited 113 runners so far this season and 26.5% of them ended up scoring. The bullpen have a total of 73 holds over the course of the season (2nd in baseball). Rays pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 78 times as well as having 93 appearances in high leverage situations. They have accumulated 37 saves on the year and have blown 13 of their 50 chances to save the game. The Rays relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 74.0% and have stepped onto the mound in 123 save situations.

The Tampa Bay Rays have accumulated 2,517 putouts on the campaign, as well as 759 assists and 57 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .983 which has them sitting 24th in MLB, and have accumulated 64 double plays. The Rays have converted 71.8% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,551 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 2nd in professional baseball.

McClanahan has thrown 490 innings and has accounted for 538 strikeouts so far in his career. McClanahan (41-21 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 2.95 while facing 1,981 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 2.99 (163 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.110. He has allowed 400 hits (7.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 144 free passes.

The Red Sox hold a slugging percentage of .387 and they are scoring 4.10 runs per outing (25th in MLB). They have put up 165 doubles, while walking 286 times and putting up 385 runs. Boston has hit 85 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 368 RBIs. They have been rung up on 775 instances (23rd in the league) and have earned a total of 764 base hits. The Boston Red Sox have a team on-base percentage of .314 in addition to a batting average of .243 so far this year.

The Red Sox are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.223 with a FIP of 3.78 as a unit over the course of the season. They come in at 8th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 745. The Boston pitching staff have yielded 358 runs this season while having a team ERA of 3.59 (332 earned runs conceded). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.70 (802 strikeouts against 273 walks). They have conceded 96 long balls and they surrender 3.87 runs per 9 innings (3rd in MLB).

Sitting with 88 save situations, the Red Sox have recorded 55 holds and 9 blown saves. Boston has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 31 save chances and they have earned 22 saves. Boston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.1% out of their 112 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 79 times in high leverage situations and on 78 occasions with runners on. They sit at 9th in baseball holding a save rate of 71.0%, and they have dispatched 289 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the year.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 62 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in baseball). The Red Sox have recorded 794 assists, 41 errors and have 2,497 putouts so far this season. In their 7,491 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox have a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (14th in pro baseball).

Gray (136-103 mark in his career) holds a 3.53 earned run average while giving up 7.9 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.12 and he has gone up against 8,334 batters during his career. He has conceded a total of 790 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.193 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. In his MLB career, Gray has given up 1,756 base hits while accumulating 2,010 K's in 2,013 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-122)

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