Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 4/28/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Tuesday, April 28, 2026

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+125) Cleveland (-150)

The Tampa Bay Rays (16-11) are hitting the road to Progressive Field on Tuesday where they will attempt to beat the Cleveland Guardians (15-14). The moneyline on this game has the Rays at +125 and the Guardians open at -150. The total has been set at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Nick Martinez and Tanner Bibee.

Tampa Bay is slugging .394 and have struck out 191 times, while taking a walk on 95 occasions. They have 126 RBI's and 238 hits this year, and their team batting average sits at .258. The Rays have tallied 38 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 26 balls out of the stadium. They have a total of 132 runs while holding a team OBP of .335. As a unit, the Tampa Bay Rays are scoring 4.9 runs/g, which puts them at 9th in MLB.

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The Rays have an ERA of 4.36 on the campaign (19th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 219 batters. Rays pitchers have conceded 36 home runs in addition to 133 runs (20th in baseball). They have walked 98 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.54 as a squad on the year. Tampa Bay has surrendered 207 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 118 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.23 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.25.

The Rays relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 71.4% and have stepped onto the mound in 32 save situations. They have accumulated 10 saves on the season and have missed out on 4 of 14 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 32 runners for the season with 40.6% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Rays relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 25 times in addition to having 32 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rays have sent 87 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The relievers have accumulated 18 holds so far this season (10th in MLB).

The Rays have converted 72.4% of balls in play into outs in their 2,190 innings, which has them ranked 3rd in baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have earned a total of 730 putouts so far this season, as well as 203 assists and 24 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .975 which has them sitting 30th in the majors, and have accumulated 12 double plays.

Martinez has taken the hill for 970 innings and is sitting with 690 K's so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 4.09 (441 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.296. He has surrendered 960 hits (8.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 297 walks. Martinez (49-60 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 4.03 while he has faced 4,109 hitters during his time in the majors.

The Guardians hold a slugging % of .380 and they score 4.07 runs per contest (22nd in the league). They have hit 49 two-baggers, while walking 114 times and notching 118 runs. Cleveland has accumulated 30 HRs on the campaign as well as 113 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 228 occasions (19th in MLB) and have tallied 219 hits. The Cleveland Guardians have an OBP of .319 as well as a batting average of .231 so far this season.

The Guardians have a WHIP of 1.259 with a FIP of 4.18 as a staff for the season. They rank 11th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 220. The Cleveland pitching staff have allowed 126 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 4.07 (115 earned runs allowed). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.40 (267 strikeouts vs 100 walks). They have given up 36 homers and they surrender 4.46 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB).

With 29 save situations, the Guardians have earned 18 holds in addition to 3 blown saves. Cleveland has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 11 save chances and they have tallied 8 saves. Cleveland relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 41.5% out of 41 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 32 times in high leverage situations and on 24 occasions with runners on. They rank 5th in baseball with a save percentage of 72.7%, and they have dispatched 92 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this year.

The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 23 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (8th in the majors). The Guardians have 219 assists, 12 errors and have accumulated 763 putouts for the year. In their 2,289 innings on the diamond, the Guardians have earned a efficiency on defense of 70.8% (11th in pro baseball).

So far in his career, Bibee has surrendered 475 base hits and he has 516 punch outs in 528 innings. He has surrendered a total of 215 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.191 and having a FIP of 3.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.35 and he has faced 2,188 hitters so far in his MLB career. Bibee (34-26 career record) has a 3.66 ERA and has allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+125)

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