Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 6/5/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, June 5, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-196) Miami (+162)

The Miami Marlins (28-34) welcome the Tampa Bay Rays (36-22) at LoanDepot Park on Friday. The moneyline on this game has the Rays at -196 and the Marlins are priced at +162. The over/under is set at 9. The men taking the mound will be Drew Rasmussen and Tyler Phillips.

As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are compiling 4.7 runs per game, which puts them at 10th in baseball. They have a total of 271 runs while holding a team OBP of .336. The Rays have accounted for 83 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 50 balls out of the park. They have earned 257 runs batted in in addition to 504 hits this year, while their average at the plate sits at .258. Tampa Bay has a slugging % of .388 and have struck out 421 times, while taking a walk on 216 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.46 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.25. Rays pitchers have conceded 71 long balls and also 261 total runs (12th in the league). Tampa Bay has given up 473 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 231 earned runs. The Rays are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.97 on the campaign (13th in the league), and the staff has rung up 445 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 181 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.28 as a squad so far this season.

Rays pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 53 times and also have had 65 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have 43 holds so far this year (5th in MLB). The Rays bullpen have earned a save percentage of 71.4% and have entered the game in 78 save situations. They have tallied 25 saves over the course of the season and have blown 10 of 35 save chances. The relievers have inherited 67 runners on the season and 26.9% of them ended up scoring. The Rays have dispatched 189 relief pitchers to the hill this year.

The Rays have turned 71.4% of balls in play into outs in their 4,716 innings, which ranks them 6th in pro baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have a tally of 1,572 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 486 assists and 40 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .981 which has them sitting 28th in baseball, and have accumulated 38 double plays.

Rasmussen (34-19 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 2.90 and he has gone up against 2,076 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 420 hits (7.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 131 free passes. His ERA is 2.95 (170 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.061. Rasmussen has taken the ball for 519 innings and has 483 K's so far in his pro baseball career.

The Marlins hold a team slugging % of .381 and they are recording 4.26 runs per contest (19th in the league). They have 100 doubles, while taking a walk 207 times and scoring 264 runs. Miami has accounted for 53 home runs for the year to go along with 252 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 505 occasions (15th in MLB) and have totaled 499 base hits. The Miami Marlins have recorded an on-base percentage of .320 and a batting average of .243 for the year.

The Marlins have a WHIP of 1.267 in addition to having a FIP of 4.00 as a staff for the season. They have a ranking of 7th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 471. The Miami pitching staff have given up 285 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 4.33 (262 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.60 (522 strikeouts vs 218 walks). They have given up 61 long balls and they surrender 4.72 runs per 9 innings (20th in baseball).

They sit at 19th in the league holding a save rate of 59.1%, and they have dispatched 194 relievers to the hill for the year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 57 times in high leverage situations in addition to 48 occasions with runners on. With 52 save situations, the Marlins have amassed 29 holds and also 9 blown saves. Miami has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 22 save opportunities and they have tallied 13 saves. Miami relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 23.5% out of their 68 inherited runners.

Out of their 4,896 innings played, the Marlins have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (13th in pro baseball). The Miami Marlins have gotten 40 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .980 (29th in the majors). The Marlins have racked up 496 assists, 43 errors and are sitting with 1,632 putouts this year.

Phillips (6-3 win-loss record in his career) holds a 3.49 ERA while surrendering 8.3 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.26 and he has gone up against 638 batters during his MLB career. He has surrendered 59 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.248 and a FIP of 3.4. During his MLB career, Phillips has given up 140 hits while he has earned 113 punch outs in 152 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (+162)

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