Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 6/7/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins

Date: Sunday, June 7, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-160) Miami (+132)

The Tampa Bay Rays (36-23) are traveling to LoanDepot Park on Sunday where they will try to defeat the Miami Marlins (29-34). The odds on this game have Tampa Bay at -160 while Miami opens at +132. The over/under has been set at 9. The pitchers expected to start will be Griffin Jax and Sandy Alcantara.

Tampa Bay has a slugging rate of .386 and have struck out 427 times, while being walked on 218 occasions. They have accumulated 259 runs batted in in addition to 509 base knocks this season, and their batting average is .256. The Rays have tallied 83 doubles as a squad and have hit 51 balls out of the stadium. They have accumulated 273 runs while having a team OBP of .334. As a squad, the Tampa Bay Rays are knocking in 4.6 runs per game, which is 9th in the league.

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The Rays are sitting with a team ERA of 4.02 this season (14th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 449 hitters. Rays pitchers have conceded 73 long balls and 268 runs in total (13th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 182 opposing players and their FIP is 4.32 as a squad for the season. Tampa Bay has relinquished 486 base knocks (8.2 per 9 innings) and also 238 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.47 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.25.

Rays pitchers have entered the game with players on base 53 times and also have had 65 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have earned 43 holds on the year (5th in MLB). The Rays relievers have accumulated a save rate of 71.4% and stepped onto the hill in 78 save situations. They have compiled 25 saves this season and have not converted 10 out of their 35 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 67 runners on the campaign with 26.9% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Rays have sent 190 relievers to the mound on the year.

The Rays have turned 71.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 4,797 innings, which has them sitting 7th in baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays are sitting with 1,599 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 492 assists and 40 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .981 which ranks 28th in professional baseball, and have earned 39 double plays.

Jax has thrown 390 innings and is sitting with 437 strikeouts so far in his career. His earned run average is 4.11 (178 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.181. He has allowed 341 base knocks (7.9 hits per nine innings) with 120 walks. Jax (24-35 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 4.04 while he has faced 1,630 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues.

Miami has compiled 54 home runs on the year and 256 runs batted in. They have recorded 100 two-baggers, while taking a walk 215 times and putting up 268 runs. The Miami Marlins hold a team OBP of .321 as well as a batting average of .244 on the season. The Marlins hold a team SLG% of .382 and they are scoring 4.25 runs per game (18th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 516 occasions (13th in the league) and have earned 509 base hits.

The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.257 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.98 as a unit this season. They rank 7th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 474. The Miami pitching staff have conceded 286 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.28 (263 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.60 (531 strikeouts vs 221 walks). They have allowed 61 long balls and they concede 4.65 runs per 9 innings (20th in the league).

They are currently ranked 19th in the league with a save percentage of 60.9%, and they have dispatched 196 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 58 times in high leverage situations and on 48 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 54 save situations, the Marlins have recorded 30 holds and 9 blown saves. Miami has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 23 save chances and they have earned 14 saves. Miami relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 23.5% out of their 68 inherited base runners.

Out of their 4,977 innings on the field, the Marlins have a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (11th in pro baseball). The Miami Marlins have turned 42 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .980 (29th in pro baseball). The Marlins have 503 assists, 44 errors and have 1,659 putouts for the season.

During his career, Alcantara has allowed 1,020 base hits while totaling 988 punch outs in 1,157 frames. He has surrendered a total of 478 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.185 and a FIP of 3.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.81 and he has faced 4,774 hitters in his MLB career. Alcantara (56-71 career record) is the owner of a 3.72 earned run average while giving up 7.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (+132)

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