Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 10/23/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Friday, October 23, 2026

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+134) Milwaukee (-162)

The Tampa Bay Rays (98-64) are traveling to American Family Field on Friday where they will go up against the Milwaukee Brewers (103-59) in Game 1 of the World Series. The odds on this game have the Rays at +134 and the Brewers are coming in at -162. The total has been set at 6. The starting pitchers will be Nick Martinez and Jacob Misiorowski.

The Rays have tallied 230 doubles as a unit and have hit 169 baseballs out of the stadium. Tampa Bay has a slugging rate of .402 and have been called out on strikes 1,145 times, while being walked on 514 occasions. As a squad, the Tampa Bay Rays are knocking in 4.5 runs per game, which has them sitting at 12th in the league. They have 700 RBI's in addition to 1,405 hits this season, and their average at the plate is .258. They have earned a total of 736 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .326.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.23 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.14. Rays pitchers have allowed 201 home runs and 650 runs in total (6th in MLB). Tampa Bay has allowed 1,235 base knocks (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 594 earned runs. The Rays have a team earned run average of 3.70 for the season (7th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,322 batters. They have walked 409 batters and their FIP is 4.04 as a squad on the year.

The Rays relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 74.4% and have stepped onto the mound in 194 save situations. They have recorded 58 saves so far this year and have not converted 20 out of their 78 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 192 base runners so far this year and 32.3% of those runners earned a run for their team. Rays relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 134 times in addition to having 163 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rays have dispatched 522 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The relief pitchers have accumulated 115 holds on the year (2nd in baseball).

The Rays have turned 72.3% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,987 innings on the field, which has them ranked 1st in baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays are sitting with 4,329 putouts this year, as well as 1,279 assists and 92 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .984 which puts them in 21st in the majors, and they have turned 100 double plays.

Martinez (63-65 career record) has a FIP of 3.93 while he has faced 4,709 batters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 1,106 base hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 315 free passes. His earned run average is 3.99 (496 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.269. Martinez has taken the mound for 1,120 innings and has totaled 779 strikeouts during his MLB career.

The Milwaukee Brewers have compiled an on-base percentage of .341 as well as a team batting average of .258 on the season. They have struck out on 1,383 occasions (11th in the league) and have 1,422 base knocks. Milwaukee has knocked in 154 home runs this year to go along with 788 runs batted in. The Brewers hold a slugging percentage of .403 and they are scoring 5.14 runs per contest (2nd in baseball). They have 279 two-baggers, while getting a free base 668 times as well as earning 832 runs.

The Milwaukee pitching staff have conceded 618 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 3.52 (565 earned runs surrendered). They have allowed 171 home runs and they allow 3.85 runs per 9 innings (4th in baseball). The Brewers have a team WHIP of 1.178 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.72 as a unit over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.60 (1,544 strikeouts vs 518 walks). They rank 2nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,186.

Sitting with 164 save situations, the Brewers have amassed 86 holds and 21 blown saves. Milwaukee has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 76 save chances and they have earned 55 saves. Milwaukee relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 37.4% out of their 187 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 158 times in high leverage situations and on 129 occasions with base runners. They are ranked 5th in the league with a save rate of 72.4%, and they have sent 509 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond so far this season.

In 13,020 innings on the diamond, the Brewers have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.2% (6th in baseball). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 118 double plays and have a fielding rate of .987 (7th in baseball). The Brewers have recorded 1,269 assists, 72 errors and have a total of 4,340 putouts for the year.

During his MLB career, Misiorowski has surrendered 147 base knocks while earning 339 K's in 240 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 67 ER's while holding a WHIP of 0.924 and having a FIP of 2.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.52 and he has gone up against 938 hitters during his pro baseball career. Misiorowski (21-8 career record) has a 2.51 ERA while allowing 5.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+134)

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