Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 10/23/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Friday, October 23, 2026

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+134) Milwaukee (-162)

The Tampa Bay Rays (98-64) are en route to American Family Field on Friday where they will take on the Milwaukee Brewers (103-59) in Game 1 of the World Series. The moneyline on this contest has Tampa Bay at +134 while Milwaukee is coming in at -162. The over/under comes in at 6. The expected starting pitchers will be Drew Rasmussen and Jacob Misiorowski.

Tampa Bay is slugging .402 and have struck out 1,145 times, while taking a walk on 514 occasions. They have amassed 700 RBI's in addition to 1,405 base knocks over the course of the season, and their team batting average is at .258. The Rays have recorded 230 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 169 balls out of the park. They have 736 runs scored while having a team OBP of .326. As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are earning 4.5 runs per contest, which is 12th in MLB.

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The Rays hold a team earned run average of 3.70 this year (7th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,322 hitters. Rays pitchers have surrendered 201 long balls and also 650 runs in total (6th in the league). They have walked 409 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.04 as a unit this year. Tampa Bay has relinquished 1,235 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 594 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.23 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.14.

The Rays have dispatched 522 relievers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 192 base runners for the year and 32.3% of those runners earned a run for their team. The relief pitchers have racked up 115 holds this year (2nd in the league). Rays pitchers have entered the game with runners on 134 times and also have had 163 appearances in high leverage situations. They have earned 58 saves so far this year and have blown 20 of 78 save chances. The Rays relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 74.4% and stepped onto the hill in 194 save situations.

The Rays have turned 72.3% of balls in play into outs out of 12,987 innings on the field, ranking them 1st in baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have a tally of 4,329 putouts this season, as well as 1,279 assists and 92 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .984 which is 21st in pro baseball, and have 100 double plays.

Rasmussen has pitched in 632 innings and has racked up 602 K's in his pro baseball career. Rasmussen (46-22 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 2.79 and he has faced 2,509 opposing batters in the majors. His earned run average is 2.83 (199 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.025. He has given up 497 base knocks (7.1 hits per 9 innings) with 151 free passes.

The Brewers have a team SLG% of .403 and they are earning 5.14 runs per game (2nd in baseball). They have hit 279 doubles, while taking a walk 668 times and scoring 832 runs. Milwaukee has tallied 154 home runs on the year and 788 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,383 instances (11th in baseball) and have notched a total of 1,422 base hits. The Milwaukee Brewers have a team OBP of .341 as well as a batting average of .258 on the season.

The Milwaukee pitching staff have conceded 618 runs this year while holding an ERA of 3.52 (565 earned runs conceded). They have conceded 171 homers and they concede 3.85 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league). The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.178 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.72 as a pitching staff this season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.60 (1,544 strikeouts against 518 free passes). They sit at 2nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,186.

They are currently ranked 5th in MLB with a save rate of 72.4%, and they have sent 509 relief pitchers onto the field this year. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 158 times in high leverage situations and also on 129 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 164 save situations, the Brewers have earned 86 holds and also 21 blown saves. Milwaukee has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 76 save opportunities and they have converted 55 saves. Milwaukee relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 37.4% of 187 inherited runners.

The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 118 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (7th in MLB). The Brewers have accrued 1,269 assists, 72 errors and have amassed 4,340 putouts over the course of the season. In their 13,020 innings played, the Brewers are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.2% (6th in the majors).

Misiorowski (21-8 record in his career) is the owner of a 2.51 ERA while allowing 5.5 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 4.52 and he has faced 938 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered a total of 67 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 0.924 and having a FIP of 2.5. Thus far in his career, Misiorowski has conceded 147 hits while totaling 339 strikeouts in 240 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+134)

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