Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 10/24/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+154) Milwaukee (-188)

The Tampa Bay Rays (98-64) are en route to American Family Field on Saturday where they will take on the Milwaukee Brewers (103-59) in Game 2 of the World Series. The line on this matchup has the Rays at +154 while the Brewers are at -188. The over/under comes in at 6.5. The starting pitchers are Drew Rasmussen and Logan Henderson.

As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are scoring 4.5 runs per game, which has them sitting at 12th in MLB. They are sitting with 736 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .326. The Rays have accumulated 230 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 169 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 700 runs batted in as well as 1,405 hits this year, and their average at the plate is at .258. Tampa Bay has a slugging % of .402 and have been rung up 1,145 times, while drawing a walk on 514 occasions.

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The Rays have a team earned run average of 3.70 for the season (7th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,322 batters. Rays pitchers have yielded 201 long balls and 650 runs in total (6th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 409 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.04 as a squad over the course of the season. Tampa Bay has conceded 1,235 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 594 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.23 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.14.

Rays bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 134 times as well as having 163 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have recorded 115 holds so far this year (2nd in the league). The Rays relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 74.4% and have stepped onto the mound in 194 save situations. They have earned 58 saves so far this year and have blown 20 of their 78 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 192 runners so far this year and 32.3% of them ended up scoring. The Rays have sent 522 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Rays have transformed 72.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,987 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 1st in baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have 4,329 putouts this season, in addition to 1,279 assists and 92 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .984 which ranks 21st in baseball, and have a total of 100 double plays.

Rasmussen has pitched in 632 innings and has earned 602 punch outs thus far in his career. His earned run average is 2.83 (199 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.025. He has conceded 497 base knocks (7.1 hits per 9 innings) and has had 151 walks. Rasmussen (46-22 career record) has earned a FIP of 2.79 while he has faced 2,509 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues.

Milwaukee has accounted for 154 home runs so far this season as well as 788 runs batted in. They have recorded 279 two-baggers, while taking a walk 668 times as well as scoring 832 runs. The Milwaukee Brewers have accumulated an on-base percentage of .341 in addition to a batting average of .258 on the year. The Brewers have a slugging percentage of .403 and they tally 5.14 runs per outing (2nd in the league). They have struck out on 1,383 occasions (11th in the league) and have recorded 1,422 base hits.

The Brewers have a WHIP of 1.178 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.72 as a squad this year. They sit at 2nd in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,186. The Milwaukee pitching staff have surrendered 618 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 3.52 (565 earned runs relinquished). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.60 (1,544 strikeouts against 518 free passes). They have surrendered 171 long balls and they concede 3.85 runs per 9 innings (4th in MLB).

Milwaukee bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 37.4% out of 187 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 158 times in high leverage situations in addition to 129 occasions with runners on. With 164 save situations, the Brewers have 86 holds in addition to 21 blown saves. They sit at 5th in the league holding a save rate of 72.4%, and they have sent 509 relievers onto the field for the season.

Out of their 13,020 innings on the field, the Brewers have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.2% (6th in MLB). The Milwaukee Brewers have gotten 118 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (7th in pro baseball). The Brewers have racked up 1,269 assists, 72 errors and are sitting with 4,340 putouts on the season.

In his career, Henderson has allowed 81 base hits while totaling 143 strikeouts in 123 frames. He has given up a total of 32 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 0.877 and having a FIP of 2.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 5.30 and he has faced 470 batters so far in his MLB career. Henderson (14-3 career record) has earned a 2.34 earned run average while giving up 5.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-188)

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