Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction, 9/24/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees

Date: Thursday, September 24, 2026

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+125) New York (-150)

The Tampa Bay Rays (96-61) are headed to Yankee Stadium on Thursday where they will compete against the New York Yankees (90-67). The odds on this game have Tampa Bay at +125 and New York is priced at -150. The total is 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Freddy Peralta and Cam Schlittler.

As a unit, the Tampa Bay Rays are notching 4.5 runs/g, which has them sitting at 11th in MLB. They have 713 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .327. The Rays have compiled 219 doubles as a squad and have hit 164 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 678 runs batted in in addition to 1,359 hits on the campaign, while their team batting average comes in at .258. Tampa Bay has a slugging percentage of .402 and have struck out 1,099 times, while drawing a walk on 497 occasions.

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Their K/BB ratio is 3.29 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.13. Rays pitchers have yielded 193 home runs and also 627 runs (6th in MLB). Tampa Bay has given up 1,193 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 572 earned runs. The Rays have a team earned run average of 3.67 for the season (7th in baseball), and they have rung up 1,285 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 390 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.00 as a team this year.

Rays relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 129 times and also have had 157 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have accumulated 112 holds on the season (1st in the league). The Rays bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 75.0% and have entered the game in 189 save situations. They have accumulated 57 saves on the season and have missed out on 19 out of their 76 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 184 base runners over the course of the season and 33.2% of them ended up scoring. The Rays have dispatched 501 relievers to the hill on the year.

The Rays have converted 72.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of 12,609 innings, which has them ranked 1st in pro baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have notched a total of 4,203 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,242 assists and 89 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which has them ranked 21st in the majors, and have a total of 97 double plays.

Peralta has pitched in 981 frames and is sitting with 1,192 strikeouts so far in his career. Peralta (74-44 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 3.53 while he has faced 4,049 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.59 (391 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.124. He has surrendered 731 base knocks (6.7 hits per 9 innings) with 372 free passes.

The Yankees have a SLG% of .408 and they are scoring 4.56 runs per contest (9th in MLB). They have 218 doubles, while taking a walk 559 times and scoring 716 runs. New York has 217 HRs for the year to go along with 684 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,439 occasions (6th in the league) and have notched a total of 1,214 hits. The New York Yankees have recorded an OBP of .310 in addition to a team batting average of .234 over the course of the season.

The Yankees are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.162 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.69 as a unit on the season. They come in at 3rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,165. The New York pitching staff have given up 582 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 3.22 (502 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.00 (1,404 strikeouts against 468 free passes). They have surrendered 159 home runs and they allow 3.73 runs per 9 innings (1st in the league).

New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 22.6% out of 266 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 174 times in high leverage situations and also on 186 occasions with runners on base. With 162 save situations, the Yankees have accrued 86 holds in addition to 28 blown saves. They rank 17th in baseball holding a save rate of 61.6%, and they have dispatched 516 relievers onto the diamond for the year.

In 12,648 innings played, the Yankees have a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (5th in baseball). The New York Yankees have turned 123 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .984 (22nd in pro baseball). The Yankees have accrued 1,366 assists, 92 errors and have amassed 4,216 putouts this season.

During his career, Schlittler has allowed 184 hits while he has accumulated 318 strikeouts in 263 innings. He has conceded 65 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 0.995 and a FIP of 2.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.08 and he has gone up against 1,051 opposing hitters so far in his career. Schlittler (18-9 mark in his career) has earned a 2.22 earned run average and has conceded 6.3 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-150)

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