Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 8/7/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Friday, August 7, 2026

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+162) Seattle (-196)

The Seattle Mariners (56-59) will try to defeat the Tampa Bay Rays (68-46) at T-Mobile Park on Friday. The moneyline on this game has Tampa Bay at +162 and Seattle is coming in at -196. The total is set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Drew Rasmussen and Logan Gilbert.

As a squad, the Tampa Bay Rays are scoring 4.5 runs per outing, which is 15th in baseball. They have 510 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .329. The Rays have accrued 164 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 116 balls out of the stadium. They have tallied 485 RBI's as well as 984 hits for the season, while their team batting average is .258. Tampa Bay is slugging .403 and have struck out 819 times, while being walked on 373 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.13 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.15. Rays pitchers have conceded 141 home runs in addition to 469 total runs (8th in the league). Tampa Bay has relinquished 873 base knocks (7.7 per 9 innings) and also 422 earned runs. The Rays have compiled a team ERA of 3.74 for the season (8th in MLB), and they have struck out 931 hitters. They have walked 297 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.06 as a team for the season.

The Rays relief pitchers have a save percentage of 76.3% and have come into the game in 145 save situations. They have tallied 45 saves so far this season and have blown 14 out of their 59 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 135 runners on the year with 28.1% of those players crossing the plate. Rays relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 94 times and also have had 111 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rays have sent 363 relievers to the hill this year. The bullpen have accumulated 86 holds for the year (2nd in baseball).

The Rays have turned 72.1% of baseballs in play into outs in their 9,144 innings, which has them sitting at 2nd in the majors. The Tampa Bay Rays have amassed 3,048 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 901 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding rate is at .983 which has them sitting 21st in pro baseball, and they have turned 74 double plays.

Rasmussen has taken the mound for 577 innings and has 550 punch outs thus far in his career. His earned run average is 2.90 (186 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.039. He has surrendered 461 base hits (7.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 139 walks. Rasmussen (40-22 career record) has earned a FIP of 2.86 while facing 2,301 batters during his time in the majors.

The Mariners hold a team SLG% of .378 and they are earning 3.98 runs per outing (28th in MLB). They have hit 141 two-baggers, while taking a walk 380 times as well as notching 458 runs. Seattle is sitting with 134 long balls for the year to go along with 442 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 981 instances (12th in the league) and have earned a total of 874 base knocks. The Seattle Mariners have tallied an on-base percentage of .310 as well as a batting average of .230 on the campaign.

The Seattle pitching staff have allowed 461 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.77 (425 earned runs given up). They have yielded 124 HR's and they allow 4.09 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball). The Mariners have a team WHIP of 1.189 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.73 as a squad on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.70 (980 strikeouts against 283 bases on balls). They sit at 14th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 924.

Sitting with 105 save situations, the Mariners have recorded 60 holds in addition to 18 blown saves. Seattle has had relief pitchers enter the game in 44 save opportunities and they have come away with 26 saves. Seattle relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 31.8% out of their 107 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 116 times in high leverage situations and also on 78 occasions with base runners. They rank 19th in the league with a save rate of 59.1%, and they have dispatched 340 relief pitchers onto the field for the season.

The Seattle Mariners have gotten 98 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in the majors). The Mariners have accrued 934 assists, 57 errors and have a tally of 3,046 putouts this season. Out of their 9,138 innings played, the Mariners have earned a efficiency on defense of 69.8% (16th in the majors).

Gilbert (55-42 career mark) has a 3.56 ERA while giving up 7.5 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.89 and he has gone up against 3,899 opposing hitters during his MLB career. He has given up 383 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.049 and having a FIP of 3.5. During his pro baseball career, Gilbert has given up 806 hits while totaling 1,023 K's in 967 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Seattle (-196)

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