Tampa Bay Rays vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 9/5/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Texas Rangers

Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Rangers Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-145) Texas (+125)

The Texas Rangers (70-71) will take on the Tampa Bay Rays (83-57) at Globe Life Field on Saturday. The odds on this game have Tampa Bay at -145 and Texas opens at +125. The over/under is 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Drew Rasmussen and Jacob deGrom.

As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are putting up 4.5 runs per outing, which is 16th in MLB. They have a total of 628 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .328. The Rays have hit 194 doubles as a unit and have hit 144 balls out of the park. They have compiled 596 runs batted in and 1,220 hits on the year, and their team batting average is sitting at .260. Tampa Bay owns a slugging percentage of .402 and have struck out 976 times, while taking a walk on 448 occasions.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.25 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.15. Rays pitchers have relinquished 174 long balls and 583 total runs (8th in the league). Tampa Bay has given up 1,087 base knocks (7.8 per 9 innings) as well as 527 earned runs. The Rays have compiled a team earned run average of 3.79 over the course of the season (8th in baseball), and they have struck out 1,144 hitters. They have walked 352 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.04 as a team so far this season.

The Rays bullpen have compiled a save rate of 77.1% and have come into the game in 174 save situations. They have recorded 54 saves this season and have blown 16 of their 70 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 165 base runners this year with 32.1% of them crossing home plate. Rays relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 115 times in addition to having 134 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rays have dispatched 442 relievers to the hill this year. The relief pitchers have a total of 104 holds on the year (1st in MLB).

The Rays have converted 71.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of 11,250 innings, which has them sitting at 2nd in professional baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have a tally of 3,750 putouts on the year, in addition to 1,110 assists and 84 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .983 which puts them in 24th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 89 double plays.

Rasmussen has taken the hill for 606 innings and has earned 577 strikeouts during his MLB career. His ERA is 2.91 (196 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.034. He has given up 481 base knocks (7.1 hits per nine innings) and has 146 walks. Rasmussen (44-22 career record) has earned a FIP of 2.87 while he has gone up against 2,414 batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Rangers have a team SLG% of .398 and they average 4.10 runs per contest (26th in the league). They have tallied 208 doubles, while taking a walk 460 times as well as scoring 578 runs. Texas is sitting with 158 home runs this year as well as 558 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,193 occasions (12th in the league) and have 1,138 base hits. The Texas Rangers have recorded an on-base percentage of .318 in addition to a team batting average of .243 this year.

The Rangers hold a team WHIP of 1.310 with a FIP of 4.13 as a pitching staff this year. They are currently ranked 21st in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,185. The Texas pitching staff have allowed 620 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 4.27 (586 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio is 8.70 (1,190 strikeouts against 432 free passes). They have relinquished 169 dingers and they surrender 4.52 runs per 9 innings (15th in the league).

Texas relievers hold an inherited score rate of 30.6% out of their 186 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 131 times in high leverage situations and also on 124 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 126 save situations, the Rangers have recorded 69 holds and 16 blown saves. They are ranked 7th in the league holding a save rate of 70.9%, and they have sent 456 relief pitchers to the hill this season.

The Texas Rangers have turned 88 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in pro baseball). The Rangers have racked up 1,100 assists, 60 errors and have earned 3,703 putouts so far this year. In 11,109 innings on the field, the Rangers hold a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (20th in MLB).

deGrom (106-74 career record) has a 2.69 ERA while giving up 6.9 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 5.28 and he has gone up against 6,606 hitters in his career. He has given up a total of 501 ER's while earning a WHIP of 0.998 and a FIP of 2.6. In his career, deGrom has allowed 1,291 base knocks while accumulating 2,018 punch outs in 1,676 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Texas (+125)

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