Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 7/21/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Tuesday, July 21, 2026

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+125) Toronto (-145)

Rogers Centre is the location where the Toronto Blue Jays (46-53) will attempt to defeat the Tampa Bay Rays (56-42) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has Tampa Bay at +125 and Toronto is coming in at -145. The total comes in at 9. The starting pitchers will be Drew Rasmussen and Kevin Gausman.

As a unit, the Tampa Bay Rays are compiling 4.4 runs/g, which puts them at 16th in baseball. They have 435 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .332. The Rays have recorded 140 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 98 balls out of the stadium. They have accounted for 412 runs batted in and 839 hits this year, while their team batting average comes in at .257. Tampa Bay has a slugging percentage of .399 and have struck out 699 times, while being walked on 340 occasions.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.99 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.18. Rays pitchers have surrendered 127 home runs and 421 runs in total (9th in baseball). Tampa Bay has surrendered 767 base knocks (7.9 per 9 innings) and 377 earned runs. The Rays have an ERA of 3.90 for the season (9th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 789 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 264 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.22 as a team on the year.

The Rays bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 72.5% and have stepped onto the mound in 126 save situations. They have tallied 37 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 14 of 51 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 117 base runners on the season and 29.1% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Rays pitchers have come into the game with players on base 81 times in addition to having 95 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rays have sent 311 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The bullpen have racked up 75 holds so far this year (2nd in baseball).

The Rays have converted 71.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 7,839 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 2nd in professional baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have a total of 2,613 putouts this year, in addition to 786 assists and 61 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .982 which has them sitting 26th in the majors, and have accumulated 65 double plays.

Rasmussen has pitched in 559 innings and has tallied 526 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. Rasmussen (37-22 career mark) has earned a FIP of 2.92 while he has gone up against 2,232 opposing batters in the majors. His earned run average is 2.96 (184 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.046. He has given up 449 base hits (7.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 136 free passes.

The Toronto Blue Jays have compiled an on-base percentage of .305 and a batting average of .242 over the course of the season. They have struck out on 722 instances (29th in the league) and have totaled 803 hits. Toronto has knocked in 101 home runs for the season as well as 381 runs batted in. The Blue Jays hold a team slugging percentage of .382 and they are earning 4.01 runs per contest (29th in baseball). They have put up 151 two-baggers, while walking 273 times and racking up 397 runs.

The Blue Jays have a WHIP of 1.301 in addition to having a FIP of 3.99 as a squad this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.00 (879 strikeouts vs 352 free passes). They are sitting at 10th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 788. They have allowed 108 home runs and they relinquish 4.54 runs per 9 innings (16th in MLB). The Toronto pitching staff have allowed 442 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 4.14 (403 earned runs yielded).

Sitting with 110 save situations, the Blue Jays have compiled 64 holds and 13 blown saves. Toronto has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 43 save chances and they have recorded 30 saves. Toronto relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.0% out of their 157 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 115 times in high leverage situations and on 107 occasions with runners on base. They are currently ranked 11th in baseball with a save rate of 69.8%, and they have dispatched 364 relief pitchers onto the field over the course of the season.

The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 68 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .982 (25th in pro baseball). The Blue Jays have recorded 825 assists, 62 errors and have amassed 2,630 putouts this season. In 7,890 innings played, the Blue Jays are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (21st in MLB).

So far in his career, Gausman has allowed 1,940 hits while he has earned 2,070 punch outs in 2,023 innings pitched. He has surrendered a total of 864 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.239 and having a FIP of 3.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.65 and he has gone up against 8,456 batters during his MLB career. Gausman (116-121 career record) has a 3.84 ERA and has allowed 8.6 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Toronto (-145) and under 9 runs

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