Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 7/23/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Thursday, July 23, 2026

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+125) Toronto (-145)

Rogers Centre is the location where the Toronto Blue Jays (46-55) will try to defeat the Tampa Bay Rays (58-42) on Thursday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Rays at +125 and the Blue Jays are priced at -145. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Ian Seymour and Shane Bieber.

As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are scoring 4.5 runs per game, which ranks them 16th in MLB. They have tallied 442 runs while holding a team OBP of .332. The Rays have accumulated 143 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 101 baseballs out of the park. They have 419 runs batted in and 852 hits this season, while their average at the plate is .258. Tampa Bay has a slugging rate of .402 and have been called out on strikes 708 times, while drawing a walk on 342 occasions.

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The Rays have compiled a team earned run average of 3.88 this season (9th in the league), and the staff has rung up 791 hitters. Rays pitchers have conceded 127 long balls and 422 runs in total (9th in the league). They have walked 266 hitters and their FIP is 4.21 as a team on the season. Tampa Bay has surrendered 775 base hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and also 379 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.97 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.18.

The Rays relievers have a save percentage of 72.5% and have entered the game in 126 save situations. They have recorded 37 saves this year and have blown 14 of their 51 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 117 base runners on the year with 29.1% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Rays relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 81 times as well as having 95 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rays have dispatched 314 relievers to the hill for the year. The relievers have tallied 75 holds on the season (2nd in baseball).

The Tampa Bay Rays have 2,640 putouts for the season, in addition to 795 assists and 61 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .983 which has them ranked 24th in the majors, and they have turned 67 double plays. The Rays have turned 71.8% of baseballs in play into outs in their 7,920 innings on the field, which has them sitting 2nd in pro baseball.

Seymour has taken the ball for 124 innings and has earned 143 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. Seymour (10-5 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.21 while he has gone up against 525 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.28 (59 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.176. He has surrendered 101 base hits (7.3 hits per nine innings) and has 45 free passes.

The Toronto Blue Jays have accumulated a team OBP of .304 as well as a team batting average of .242 this year. They have been rung up on 724 occasions (29th in the league) and have totaled 811 base hits. Toronto is sitting with 101 home runs for the year to go along with 382 RBIs. The Blue Jays hold a team slugging percentage of .380 and they are scoring 3.98 runs per outing (30th in the league). They have hit 151 doubles, while getting a free base 275 times as well as putting up 398 runs.

The Blue Jays are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.305 in addition to having a FIP of 4.02 as a staff over the course of the season. They are currently ranked 13th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 801. The Toronto pitching staff have allowed 449 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.15 (408 earned runs allowed). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.00 (888 strikeouts against 354 bases on balls). They have allowed 111 home runs and they give up 4.57 runs per 9 innings (16th in baseball).

With 110 save situations, the Blue Jays have 64 holds and also 13 blown saves. Toronto has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 43 save chances and they have walked away with 30 saves. Toronto relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 28.0% out of 157 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 115 times in high leverage situations and on 107 occasions with runners on. They sit at 11th in the league holding a save rate of 69.8%, and they have sent 366 relief pitchers to the mound for the season.

In their 7,971 innings played, the Blue Jays have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (21st in baseball). The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 70 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (26th in pro baseball). The Blue Jays have recorded 837 assists, 65 errors and have earned 2,657 putouts for the season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Bieber has surrendered 815 base hits while totaling 1,014 strikeouts in 906 innings. Bieber (67-35 career record) has earned a 3.31 earned run average while giving up 8.1 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 333 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.128 and having a FIP of 3.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.90 and he has gone up against 3,682 batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+125)

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