Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 6/29/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Monday, June 29, 2026

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Texas (-128) Cleveland (+106)

The Cleveland Guardians (43-40) host the Texas Rangers (41-42) at Progressive Field on Monday. The odds on this game have Texas at -128 while Cleveland is sitting at +106. The over/under has been set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Jacob deGrom and Parker Messick.

As a team, the Texas Rangers are putting up 4.1 runs per game, which ranks them 25th in MLB. They have earned 337 runs scored and have an OBP of .320. The Rangers have hit 122 doubles as a unit and have knocked 88 baseballs out of the park. They have 325 runs batted in as well as 674 base knocks on the season, while their batting average is .244. Texas is slugging .392 and have struck out 701 times, while taking a walk on 276 occasions.

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The Rangers are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.98 so far this season (12th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 700 batters. Rangers pitchers have surrendered 99 long balls and 346 total runs (11th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 246 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.11 as a team for the year. Texas has given up 660 base knocks (8.2 per 9 innings) in addition to 322 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.85 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.25.

The Rangers relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 78.1% and have stepped onto the mound in 73 save situations. They have earned 25 saves this season and have blown 7 of their 32 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 107 runners over the course of the season and 32.7% of those runners crossing home plate. Rangers pitchers have entered the game with runners on 72 times and also have had 75 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rangers have dispatched 256 relievers to the mound for the season. The relievers have a total of 39 holds over the course of the season (21st in MLB).

The Rangers have turned 70.7% of balls in play into outs out of their 6,546 innings, which ranks them 9th in baseball. The Texas Rangers have amassed 2,182 putouts for the season, as well as 644 assists and 37 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which has them sitting 11th in the majors, and have a total of 51 double plays.

deGrom has taken the hill for 1,627 frames and has earned 1,957 strikeouts in his MLB career. deGrom (102-70 career mark) has a FIP of 2.59 while he has gone up against 6,400 batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 2.63 (475 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 0.989. He has conceded 1,244 base hits (6.9 hits per 9 innings) with 365 walks.

Cleveland has tallied 75 home runs on the campaign and 311 RBIs. They have recorded 131 doubles, while getting a free base 310 times as well as scoring 325 runs. The Cleveland Guardians have a team on-base percentage of .310 as well as a team batting average of .227 on the campaign. The Guardians have a team slugging percentage of .363 and they are earning 3.92 runs per contest (30th in baseball). They have been rung up on 677 instances (20th in baseball) and have totaled 616 hits.

The Cleveland pitching staff have given up 334 runs this year while having a team ERA of 3.77 (307 earned runs given up). They have yielded 97 long balls and they surrender 4.10 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league). The Guardians are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.255 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.98 as a team over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.30 (760 strikeouts against 273 free passes). They rank 8th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 647.

They are currently ranked 3rd in the league with a save percentage of 77.8%, and they have dispatched 270 relief pitchers onto the field over the course of the season. Their relievers have come in 103 times in high leverage situations and on 76 occasions with runners on. With 109 save situations, the Guardians have 72 holds in addition to 8 blown saves. Cleveland has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 36 save chances and they have tallied 28 saves. Cleveland bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 24.8% of 117 inherited base runners.

The Cleveland Guardians have turned 60 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in baseball). The Guardians have racked up 656 assists, 38 errors and have 2,199 putouts this year. In their 6,597 innings on the field, the Guardians are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.1% (15th in MLB).

Messick (10-5 record in his career) holds a 2.70 earned run average and has surrendered 7.8 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.97 and he has faced 537 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. He has given up 40 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.133 and a FIP of 2.7. During his MLB career, Messick has conceded 116 hits while totaling 139 strikeouts in 133 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cleveland (+106)

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