Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Prediction, 5/16/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros

Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Texas (-196) Houston (+162)

The Houston Astros (17-28) host the Texas Rangers (21-22) at Daikin Park on Saturday. The odds on this game have Texas at -196 and Houston is sitting at +162. The total comes in at 8. The starting pitchers will be Jacob deGrom and Kai-Wei Teng.

As a unit, the Texas Rangers are compiling 3.8 runs per game, which ranks them 27th in the league. They are sitting with 162 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .314. The Rangers have tallied 60 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 40 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accumulated 155 runs batted in and 330 hits on the year, and their team batting average is at .234. Texas is slugging .370 and have struck out 377 times, while drawing a walk on 152 occasions.

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The Rangers have an earned run average of 3.63 on the campaign (7th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 364 batters. Rangers pitchers have surrendered 45 home runs and 162 runs in total (5th in the league). They have walked 140 hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.96 as a team for the season. Texas has surrendered 324 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and 152 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.60 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.23.

The Rangers relievers have recorded a save percentage of 68.8% and stepped onto the hill in 43 save situations. They have tallied 11 saves this year and have blown 5 of 16 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 67 base runners this year and 29.9% of those runners earned a run for their team. Rangers relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 42 times as well as having 44 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rangers have dispatched 141 relievers to the hill on the year. The relievers have a total of 26 holds this year (12th in baseball).

The Texas Rangers have amassed 1,130 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 322 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .988 which is 10th in baseball, and they have turned 24 double plays. The Rangers have turned 71.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of 3,390 innings, which ranks them 5th in pro baseball.

deGrom has taken the ball for 1,583 innings and has accounted for 1,908 K's so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 2.57 (453 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 0.985. He has surrendered 1,206 base hits (6.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 353 free passes. deGrom (99-67 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 2.54 and he has gone up against 6,219 hitters in the major leagues.

Houston has recorded 54 HRs on the campaign as well as 196 RBIs. They have recorded 82 two-baggers, while getting a free base 159 times as well as racking up 206 runs. The Houston Astros are sitting with an OBP of .330 and a team batting average of .255 on the year. The Astros hold a team SLG% of .418 and they are earning 4.58 runs per contest (10th in MLB). They have struck out on 359 occasions (17th in baseball) and have a total of 390 base hits.

The Astros have a WHIP of 1.586 and are the owners of a FIP of 5.08 as a squad for the year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.90 (391 strikeouts vs 228 walks). They are sitting at 28th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 397. They have conceded 61 long balls and they relinquish 5.80 runs per 9 innings (29th in MLB). The Houston pitching staff have surrendered 254 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 5.60 (245 earned runs surrendered).

Sitting with 23 save situations, the Astros have 13 holds in addition to 2 blown saves. Houston has had relief pitchers take the mound in 10 save opportunities and they have earned 8 saves. Houston relievers have an inherited score percentage of 27.3% of 77 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 31 times in high leverage situations and also on 47 occasions with runners on. They sit at 2nd in the league with a save percentage of 80.0%, and they have dispatched 139 bullpen pitchers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Houston Astros have gotten 43 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .990 (6th in MLB). The Astros have racked up 342 assists, 16 errors and have a tally of 1,183 putouts so far this season. Out of their 3,549 innings on the field, the Astros hold a defensive efficiency of 67.9% (27th in the majors).

In his career, Teng has allowed 64 base hits while he has totaled 69 strikeouts in 66 frames. He has given up a total of 42 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.465 and having a FIP of 5.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.09 and he has faced 298 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career. Teng (3-7 mark in his career) is the owner of a 5.71 earned run average while conceding 8.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (+162)

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