Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Prediction, 5/17/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros

Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Texas (-132) Houston (+110)

Daikin Park is the site where the Houston Astros (17-28) will take on the Texas Rangers (21-22) on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has the Rangers at -132 while the Astros are coming in at +110. The over/under has been set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Nathan Eovaldi and Peter Lambert.

The Rangers have hit 60 doubles as a team and have hit 40 baseballs out of the stadium. Texas has a slugging % of .370 and have been called out on strikes 377 times, while drawing a walk on 152 occasions. As a unit, the Texas Rangers are scoring 3.8 runs per contest, which ranks them 27th in MLB. They have recorded 155 RBI's in addition to 330 hits for the year, and their batting average comes in at .234. They have 162 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .314.

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The Rangers have compiled a team ERA of 3.63 so far this year (7th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 364 batters. Rangers pitchers have relinquished 45 home runs and 162 total runs (5th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 140 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.96 as a team on the season. Texas has relinquished 324 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 152 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.60 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.23.

The Rangers bullpen have recorded a save rate of 68.8% and have entered the game in 43 save situations. They have recorded 11 saves on the season and have blown 5 of their 16 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 67 runners so far this year with 29.9% of them ended up crossing the plate. Rangers relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 42 times as well as having 44 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rangers have sent 141 relievers to the hill this year. The bullpen have racked up 26 holds on the year (12th in MLB).

The Rangers have transformed 71.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 3,390 innings on the field, which ranks them 5th in the majors. The Texas Rangers have accumulated 1,130 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 322 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .988 which has them sitting 10th in baseball, and they have turned 24 double plays.

Eovaldi has taken the mound for 1,749 innings and has racked up 1,534 punch outs during his MLB career. Eovaldi (106-88 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.84 while he has gone up against 7,324 opposing batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.90 (758 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.248. He has surrendered 1,707 base knocks (8.8 hits per nine innings) and has 476 walks.

Houston has 54 home runs on the campaign as well as 196 RBIs. They have tallied 82 doubles, while walking 159 times as well as racking up 206 runs. The Houston Astros are sitting with an OBP of .330 in addition to a team batting average of .255 on the campaign. The Astros hold a team slugging percentage of .418 and they tally 4.58 runs per game (10th in the league). They have been rung up on 359 occasions (17th in the league) and have earned 390 hits.

The Houston pitching staff have allowed 254 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 5.60 (245 earned runs given up). They have allowed 61 HR's and they allow 5.80 runs per 9 innings (29th in baseball). The Astros have a team WHIP of 1.586 and have a FIP of 5.08 as a pitching staff for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.90 (391 strikeouts against 228 walks). They have a ranking of 28th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 397.

Houston relievers hold an inherited score rate of 27.3% out of their 77 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 31 times in high leverage situations and also on 47 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 23 save situations, the Astros have recorded 13 holds and also 2 blown saves. They are ranked 2nd in MLB with a save percentage of 80.0%, and they have dispatched 139 relievers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Houston Astros have turned 43 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .990 (6th in the majors). The Astros have racked up 342 assists, 16 errors and have 1,183 putouts over the course of the season. In 3,549 innings played, the Astros are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 67.9% (27th in professional baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Lambert has surrendered 318 base hits while he has accumulated 210 strikeouts in 272 innings pitched. He has conceded 179 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.561 and having a FIP of 5.8. His K/BB ratio is 1.96 and he has faced 1,225 hitters in his MLB career. Lambert (10-22 mark in his career) is the owner of a 5.92 ERA while conceding 10.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (+110)

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